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Cross-border risk sharing after asymmetric shocks: evidence from the euro area and the United States

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  • Plamen Nikolov

Abstract

This section presents empirical evidence on the shock absorption capacity of the different channels of cross-border risk sharing in the euro area. The surge in economic divergence since the crisis has turned attention to the available cross-border mechanisms to smooth consumption in the face of asymmetric shocks. The main channels considered are: private risk sharing, through access to cross-border capital and credit markets and other cross-border factor income such as labour compensation; and public risk sharing, through cross-border fiscal transfers (public stabilisation through domestic means is not considered). This section shows that Economic and Monetary Union has likely facilitated cross-border shock absorption through private risk sharing, even taking into account the impact of the crisis on the financial sector. However, a direct comparison with the shock absorption capacity across US states shows that the size of the asymmetric shock that remains unsmoothed in the euro area is very high. The difference is mainly due to much less developed capital and labour market cross-border channels in the euro area. Therefore, enhancing private risk sharing among the euro area Member States, especially through capital markets, remains a policy priority.

Suggested Citation

  • Plamen Nikolov, 2016. "Cross-border risk sharing after asymmetric shocks: evidence from the euro area and the United States," Quarterly Report on the Euro Area (QREA), Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, vol. 15(2), pages 7-18, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:euf:qreuro:0152-01
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    Cited by:

    1. Léleng Kebalo & Hamitande Dout & Mawuli K. Couchoro & Stéphane Zouri, 2022. "Intégration – commerciale, budgétaire, financière – régionale et inégalités de revenu dans la Communauté Economique des Etats de l'Afrique de l'Ouest (CEDEAO)," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(S1), pages 102-116, July.
    2. Asdrubali, Pierfederico & Kim, Soyoung & Pericoli, Filippo Maria & Poncela, Pilar, 2023. "Risk sharing channels in OECD countries: A heterogeneous panel VAR approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    3. Plamen Nikolov & Paolo Pasimeni, 2023. "Fiscal Stabilization in the United States: Lessons for Monetary Unions," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 113-153, February.
    4. Parker, Miles, 2018. "How global is “global inflation”?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 174-197.
    5. Gábor P. Kiss, 2020. "Aggregate Fiscal Stabilisation Policy: Panacea or Scapegoat?," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 19(2), pages 55-87.
    6. Agnieszka Gehringer & Jörg König, 2021. "Recent Patterns of Economic Alignment in the European (Monetary) Union," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-23, August.
    7. Alcidi, Cinzia & D’Imperio, Paolo & Thirion, Gilles, 2023. "Risk-sharing and consumption-smoothing patterns in the US and the Euro Area: A comprehensive comparison," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 58-69.
    8. Theodoros S. Papaspyrou, 2017. "A new approach to governance and integration in EMU for an optimal use of economic policy framework - priority to financial union," Working Papers 229, Bank of Greece.
    9. Emter, Lorenz & Herzberg, Valerie, 2018. "The rationale for GDP-linked bonds for the euro area," Economic Letters 10/EL/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    10. Zouri, Stéphane, 2020. "Business cycles, bilateral trade and financial integration: Evidence from Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 25-43.
    11. Gilles Dufrénot & Jean-Baptiste Gossé & Caroline Clerc, 2021. "Risk sharing in Europe: new empirical evidence on the capital markets channel," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(2), pages 262-276, January.
    12. Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giuliodori, Massimo & Lengyel, Andras & Mumtaz, Haroon, 2023. "Changing patterns of risk-sharing channels in the United States and the euro area," Working Paper Series 2849, European Central Bank.
    13. Raffaele Fargnoli, 2020. "Adapting the EU Fiscal Governance to New Macroeconomics and Political Realities," RSCAS Working Papers 2020/03, European University Institute.

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    Keywords

    risk sharing;

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