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Cuantificación de los efectos de la disminución de remesas internacionales dirigidas a las regiones urbanas y rurales de México en 2002 mediante el uso de una matriz de contabilidad social

Author

Listed:
  • Lilian Albornoz Mendoza.

    (Universidad Autónoma de Yucatán.)

  • Rafael Ortiz Pech.

    (Universidad Autónoma de Yucatán.)

Abstract

En este artículo, se estiman los efectos multisectoriales de una reducción de las remesas internacionales que recibieron los hogares mexicanos en 2002. Para ello, se usa una matriz de contabilidad social correspondiente a 1996 en la que se desglosan las regiones rurales de México, actualizada a 2002 y balanceada con el método de entropía. Los resultados muestran que los efectos fueron mayores en la producción sectorial de agriculturaganadería, manufactura alimentaria, comercio, servicios y transporte. Además, el factor productivo más afectado globalmente es el trabajo urbano ligado a los sectores comercio y transporte, otros servicios y servicios profesionales. Con una baja de 10% en las remesas, el PIB se reduce 1%. La mayor parte de la afectación total corresponde a la región urbana (0.27%) y marginalmente a las rurales (0.01%).

Suggested Citation

  • Lilian Albornoz Mendoza. & Rafael Ortiz Pech., 2016. "Cuantificación de los efectos de la disminución de remesas internacionales dirigidas a las regiones urbanas y rurales de México en 2002 mediante el uso de una matriz de contabilidad social," Economía: teoría y práctica, Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, México, vol. 45(2), pages 97-136, Julio-Dic.
    • Handle: RePEc:ety:journl:v:45:y:2016:i:2:p:97-136
    DOI: 10.24275/ETYPUAM/NE/452016/Albornoz
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    remesas; regiones rurales; región urbana; matriz de contabilidad social; multiplicadores contables.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C69 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Other
    • E16 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Social Accounting Matrix
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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