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Resultado Fiscal, Cuenta Corriente Y Tã‰Rminos Del Intercambio. Relaciones De Largo Plazo Para La Economã A Argentina

Author

Listed:
  • Luis N. Lanteri

Abstract

Este trabajo investiga la validez de la hipótesis de los desequilibrios gemelos (fiscal y externo) en el caso de la economía argentina. El trabajo analiza, a través de modelos de VEC (modelo de corrección de errores), las relaciones de largo plazo entre el saldo de la cuenta corriente, el resultado fiscal, las tasas de inversión y los términos del intercambio, con datos trimestrales, que cubren el período 1994-2014. Las estimaciones sugieren que un mayor déficit fiscal y un aumento en las tasas de inversión deterioran el saldo de la cuenta corriente. El resultado fiscal precede a la cuenta corriente (causalidad en sentido de Granger), pero no a la inversa.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis N. Lanteri, 2016. "Resultado Fiscal, Cuenta Corriente Y Tã‰Rminos Del Intercambio. Relaciones De Largo Plazo Para La Economã A Argentina," Observatorio de la Economía Latinoamericana, Servicios Académicos Intercontinentales SL. Hasta 31/12/2022, issue 215, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:erv:observ:y:2016:i:215:04
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