Eduardo Loría (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México) Manuel G. Ramos (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México) Leobardo de Jesús (Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México)
Abstract
Through the use of Structural Times Series Models we estimated: potential output, the output gap and the business cycles for the Mexican GDP (1980.1-2006.4). We found that: a) the potential output has varied sharply for two different time periods: 2.1% (1980.4-1994.4) and 3.7% (1995.4-2006.4); b) great component of seasonality: Q1 and Q3 are of slow growth (below average) and Q2, Q4 above average; c) we detected that the peaks and troughs have been progressively less pronounced since the year 2000.
Download Info
To download:
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the
proper application to
view it first. Information about this may be contained
in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read
the IDEAS help
page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS
site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Publisher Info
Article provided by El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos in its journal Estudios Económicos.