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Systemic risk contagion within US states

Author

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  • Tonmoy Choudhury
  • Kevin Daly

Abstract

Purpose - This study aims to examine the systemic risk contagion in banks from 15 US states using extreme shocks in their distance to risk. Design/methodology/approach - The authors contemplate a model that inputs co-exceedances in the base US states’ banking sector as the dependent variable and the co-exceedances in other states’ banking sector (along with other underlying variables of a banking system) as the explanatory variables. Findings - The authors find smaller states transmit and receive more systemic shocks than their larger counterparts and larger states exhibit a better shock-resisting capacity than their smaller counterparts. The authors also find that bigger shocks are more contagious than the smaller shocks. Originality/value - This will be the first paper that will investigate the inner linkage of US states’ banking network using three different distance to risk methods, thus providing timely guidance for regulators.

Suggested Citation

  • Tonmoy Choudhury & Kevin Daly, 2021. "Systemic risk contagion within US states," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(4), pages 836-860, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:sefpps:sef-08-2020-0342
    DOI: 10.1108/SEF-08-2020-0342
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    US banking; Global systemically important banks (GSIBs); Distance to default (DD); Distance to insolvency (DI); Distance to capital (DC); Logistic regression model; G1; G14; G17; G21; G31;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies

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