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Macroeconomic impact of the supply shock during COVID-19 pandemic in India

Author

Listed:
  • Apica Sharma
  • Paras Sachdeva

Abstract

Purpose - The study focuses on examining the impact of the supply shock on the Indian macroeconomic variables during the COVID-19 period. Design/methodology/approach - Time-varying factor augmented vector autoregressive model has been employed to study the asymmetry in transmission of supply shock on Indian economy during pre- and post-COVID-19 times. Findings - The authors find that with supply shock, retail food inflation outpaced in COVID-19 times. Production levels reported by IIP fell to abysmally low levels in the post-COVID-19 times when the economy stalled. The liquidity stimulus provided by the central bank led to the negative response of policy rates to the supply shocks during the COVID-19 times. Originality/value - The study stands novel in examining the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on Indian economy through the lenses of asymmetric transmission of supply shock during pre- and post-COVID-19 times.

Suggested Citation

  • Apica Sharma & Paras Sachdeva, 2023. "Macroeconomic impact of the supply shock during COVID-19 pandemic in India," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 51(1), pages 145-164, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:jespps:jes-09-2022-0474
    DOI: 10.1108/JES-09-2022-0474
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Supply and demand shocks; COVID-19; TVP-FAVAR; Indian economy; E10; E31; E52; Q11;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices

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