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Macroeconomic fundamentals and exchange rates in South Asian economies

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Umar Draz
  • Fayyaz Ahmad
  • Bhumika Gupta
  • Waqas Amin

Abstract

Purpose - This study aims to examine the impact of macroeconomic fundamentals on exchange rates of selected South Asian economies during 1981-2013. Design/methodology/approach - The authors have used two econometric approaches to the data. For the pooled sample, estimated generalized least square (EGLS) and the two-stage least square method are applied. For the panel data, the authors have used the panel generalized method of moments and ordinary least squares (OLS) methods. Findings - The results suggest that macroeconomic factors have a significant impact on exchange rates. The robust findings highlight that improvements in domestic economic and political systems are crucial for a successful exchange rate policy. Originality/value - The existing literature on exchange rate fundamentals have either focused on exchange rates and international trade or investigated the relationship for the developed economies. Covering a period of more than three decades, and using both pooled and panel estimations, our study is unique in terms of its focus on the South Asian economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Umar Draz & Fayyaz Ahmad & Bhumika Gupta & Waqas Amin, 2019. "Macroeconomic fundamentals and exchange rates in South Asian economies," Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 12(2), pages 104-119, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:jcefts:jcefts-01-2019-0007
    DOI: 10.1108/JCEFTS-01-2019-0007
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