Poverty-alleviation programs in Tunisia: selection processes and targeting performance indicators at the regional level

Purpose - This paper aims to evaluate the social safety nets in Tunisia using targeting performance indicators which consider the divergence observed between the beneficiary selection process at the regional level and the official identification of poor. Design/methodology/approach - In the first part of this research, the author intend to quantify the degree of association between social programs coverage and poverty incidence, with special emphasis on the contribution of the center's targeting of regions and on the efforts of the regions themselves to reach their poor households. Next, the author measure four targeting errors: inclusion and exclusion errors, by eligibility and by poverty. These targeting errors help policymakers to understand how well a program is performing in terms of its specific eligibility criteria and knowing whether a social transfer is reaching poor people at the regional level. Findings - The author’s empirical findings show there is a positive targeting differential which rejects the nullity of independence between poverty incidence and coverage of the program in Tunisia. The author then found that the overall targeting differential is accounted for by the intra-region component. After estimating the eligibility thresholds at the regional level, the author found that the targeting performance differs from one region to another, while some recorded gains that others did not. Originality/value - To the best of our knowledge, no research has addressed the distinction between eligibility and poverty in the measurement of targeting errors. Thus, this paper contains research to fill this gap. It differs from previous studies in two important ways. First, the targeting errors will be estimated on the basis of the official eligibility criteria used at the regional level. Second, we estimate the eligibility thresholds by considering the programs coverage rate variations between regions based on quotas allocated to each governorate by the Ministry of Social Affairs (MSA).