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What do unit root tests tell us about unemployment hysteresis in transition economies?

Author

Listed:
  • Ebru Çağlayan Akay
  • Zamira Oskonbaeva
  • Hoşeng Bülbül

Abstract

Purpose - This study aims to examine the hysteresis hypothesis in unemployment using monthly data from 13 countries in transition. Design/methodology/approach - Stationarity in the unemployment rate of selected transition economies was analyzed using four different group unit root tests, namely, linear, structural breaks, non-linear and structural breaks and non-linear. Findings - The empirical results show that the unemployment hysteresis hypothesis is valid for the majority of transition economies, including Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, the Kyrgyz Republic, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania and Slovenia. However, the results strongly reject the null hypothesis of unemployment hysteresis for the Kazakhstan and the Slovak Republics. Originality/value - This study revealed that, for countries in transition, advanced unit root tests exhibit greater validity when compared to standard tests

Suggested Citation

  • Ebru Çağlayan Akay & Zamira Oskonbaeva & Hoşeng Bülbül, 2020. "What do unit root tests tell us about unemployment hysteresis in transition economies?," Applied Economic Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 28(84), pages 221-238, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:aeapps:aea-05-2020-0048
    DOI: 10.1108/AEA-05-2020-0048
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Aysegul Corakci & Tolga Omay & Mübariz Hasanov, 2022. "Hysteresis and stochastic convergence in Eurozone unemployment rates: evidence from panel unit roots with smooth breaks and asymmetric dynamics," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(1), pages 11-55, March.
    2. Ayca Doganer, 2022. "Determining Unemployment Hysteresis in European Countries Using Linear and Nonlinear Unit Root Tests: The 1991-2020 Period," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 72(72-2), pages 753-785, December.
    3. Fumitaka Furuoka, 2021. "Testing hysteresis in unemployment using artificial network (ANN) unit root test," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1947-1958.

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