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Los regímenes de política y la inestabilidad económica en un modelo de expectativas racionales de la economía mexicana

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  • Carrada-Bravo, Francisco

Abstract

Introducción. Para afrontar la hiperinflación que empezara a afectar la economía mexicana en 1982, el gobierno mexicano ha implantado tres programas antinflacionarios de naturaleza y fundamento teórico similares a otros programas implantados previamente en la Argentina, el Brasil e Israel. El primer programa antinflancionario mexicano(Programa Inmediato de Recuperación Económica, PIRE) se basaba en: i)una elevación del impuesto al valor agregado de 10 a 15%, y ii)un sistema de tipo de cambio doble bien publicitado en el que se suponía que un tipo de cambio controlado impondría un tope de 32% a la inflación interna. Este nunca funcionó porque el impuesto al valor agragado y las expectativas acerca del tipo de cambio atizaron la inflación. La experiencia ganada con la implantación del PIRE sirvió para elaborar paquetes antinflacionarios más coherentes...

Suggested Citation

  • Carrada-Bravo, Francisco, 1991. "Los regímenes de política y la inestabilidad económica en un modelo de expectativas racionales de la economía mexicana," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 58(230), pages 405-419, abril-jun.
    • Handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:58:y:1991:i:230:p:405-419
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