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Return Predictability in Emerging Equity Markets

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Author Info

  • Ian Garrett

    (Manchester School of Accounting and Finance, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK)

  • Spyros Spryrou

    (Middlesex University Business School, Middlesex University, UK)

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    Abstract

    Emerging equity markets are becoming increasingly important to the investment community as more and more assets are invested in them. This makes the issue of whether emerging equity markets are efficient an increasingly important one. In this paper we test for random walks and seasonal patterns in emerging equity market indices. Results from tests based upon the variance of monthly returns suggest that returns in emerging equity markets do not follow a random walk process and hence are predictable. Further, while the results indicate that emerging markets are efficient relative to the January effect, there is evidence of significant day-of-the-week effects.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Cyprus Economic Society and University of Cyprus in its journal Ekonomia.

    Volume (Year): 2 (1998)
    Issue (Month): 2 (Winter)
    Pages: 135-144

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    Handle: RePEc:ekn:ekonom:v:2:y:1998:i:2:p:135-144

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    Web page: http://www.ekonomia.ucy.ac.cy/
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