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Turkiye’nin Avrupa Birligi Ulkelerinden ve Dunyadan Sanayi Urunleri Ithalati: Karsilastirmali Panel Veri Analizi

Author

Listed:
  • Guzin BAYAR

    (University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign)

Abstract

Bu calismada, Turkiye’nin sanayi urunleri ithalatinda en buyuk paya sahip bolge olan Avrupa Birligi ulkelerinden yapilan sanayi urunleri ithalatinin talep denklemi ile toplam sanayi ithalati talep denklemi panel veri yontemleri kullanilarak karsilastirilmistir. Tahmin yontemi Breitung iki basamakli tahmin edicidir (two step estimator). Tahmin sonuclari, Turkiye’nin AB ulkelerinden ithalati ile dunyadan ithalatinin cesitli benzer ve farkli ozelliklere sahip oldugunu gostermektedir. Beklendigi gibi GSYH ve yatirimlar hem AB ulkelerinden, hem dunyadan ithalati benzer oranlarda artirmaktadir. 2008 krizinde Turkiye’nin AB ulkelerinden ithalati diger faktorlerin etkileri arindirildiginda dahi dusmustur. Ithalat fiyat gostergelerindeki artislar her iki denklemde de ithalat degerini artirmaktadir. Bu durum, fiyat artislari karsinda Turkiye’nin ithalatini miktar bazinda ayni oranda dusurememesinden kaynaklanmaktadir. Tuketim harcamalarindaki artis AB’den ithalati etkileyen bir faktor degilken, toplam ithalati pozitif yonde etkileyen faktorlerden biridir.

Suggested Citation

  • Guzin BAYAR, 2017. "Turkiye’nin Avrupa Birligi Ulkelerinden ve Dunyadan Sanayi Urunleri Ithalati: Karsilastirmali Panel Veri Analizi," Ege Academic Review, Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 17(2), pages 163-178.
    • Handle: RePEc:ege:journl:v:17:y:2017:i:2:p:163-178
    DOI: 10.21121/eab.2017225196
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