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Technology foresight in Russia in historical evolutionary perspective

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  • Gokhberg, Leonid
  • Sokolov, Alexander

Abstract

The paper aims to analyse the evolution of forward-looking activities in Russia vis-à-vis science, technology and innovation policy challenges and its development over the last century, with a particular focus on the period of transition to a market economy. With the development of more complex and elaborate policy instruments, demand for a better grounded long-term vision of social and economic trends has been growing both among policy makers and the S&T community. The study illustrates the emergence of technology foresight in Russia and its evolution along relevant stages of economic development, from an information source for S&T and innovation policy towards a fully-fledged anticipatory policy instrument.

Suggested Citation

  • Gokhberg, Leonid & Sokolov, Alexander, 2017. "Technology foresight in Russia in historical evolutionary perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 256-267.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:119:y:2017:i:c:p:256-267
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.031
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    Cited by:

    1. Jonathan Linton, 2018. "Quiet Contributors: The Role of the Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences in Innovation," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 12(3), pages 6-12.
    2. Wadim Strielkowski & Anna Sherstobitova & Patrik Rovny & Tatiana Evteeva, 2021. "Increasing Energy Efficiency and Modernization of Energy Systems in Russia: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-19, May.
    3. Ekaterina S. Titova, 2019. "Biofuel Application as a Factor of Sustainable Development Ensuring: The Case of Russia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-30, October.
    4. Minkkinen, Matti & Auffermann, Burkhard & Ahokas, Ira, 2019. "Six foresight frames: Classifying policy foresight processes in foresight systems according to perceived unpredictability and pursued change," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    5. Natalia Davidson & Oleg Mariev & Andrey Pushkarev, 2018. "The Impact of Externalities on the Innovation Activity of Russian Firms," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 12(3), pages 62-72.
    6. Ilya Kuzminov & Pavel Bakhtin & Elena Khabirova & Irina V. Loginova, 2018. "Detecting and Validating Global Technology Trends Using Quantitative and Expert-Based Foresight Techniques," HSE Working papers WP BRP 82/STI/2018, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    7. Wang, Peijie & Li, Fan, 2021. "Science, technology and innovation policy in Russia and China – Mapping and comparisons in objectives, instruments and implementation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).

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