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A probabilistic physics-of-failure model for prognostic health management of structures subject to pitting and corrosion-fatigue

Author

Listed:
  • Chookah, M.
  • Nuhi, M.
  • Modarres, M.

Abstract

A combined probabilistic physics-of-failure-based model for pitting and corrosion-fatigue degradation mechanisms is proposed to estimate the reliability of structures and to perform prognosis and health management. A mechanistic superposition model for corrosion-fatigue mechanism was used as a benchmark model to propose the simple model. The proposed model describes the degradation of the structures as a function of physical and critical environmental stresses, such as amplitude and frequency of mechanical loads (for example caused by the internal piping pressure) and the concentration of corrosive chemical agents. The parameters of the proposed model are represented by the probability density functions and estimated through a Bayesian approach based on the data taken from the experiments performed as part of this research. For demonstrating applications, the proposed model provides prognostic information about the reliability of aging of structures and is helpful in developing inspection and replacement strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Chookah, M. & Nuhi, M. & Modarres, M., 2011. "A probabilistic physics-of-failure model for prognostic health management of structures subject to pitting and corrosion-fatigue," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(12), pages 1601-1610.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:96:y:2011:i:12:p:1601-1610
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2011.07.007
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Lin, Yan-Hui & Li, Yan-Fu & Zio, Enrico, 2018. "A comparison between Monte Carlo simulation and finite-volume scheme for reliability assessment of multi-state physics systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 1-11.
    2. Faisal Khan & Omer F. Eker & Atif Khan & Wasim Orfali, 2018. "Adaptive Degradation Prognostic Reasoning by Particle Filter with a Neural Network Degradation Model for Turbofan Jet Engine," Data, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-21, November.
    3. An, Dawn & Choi, Joo-Ho & Kim, Nam Ho, 2013. "Prognostics 101: A tutorial for particle filter-based prognostics algorithm using Matlab," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 161-169.
    4. Chen, Ying & Yang, Liu & Ye, Cui & Kang, Rui, 2015. "Failure mechanism dependence and reliability evaluation of non-repairable system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 273-283.
    5. Bui, Ha & Sakurahara, Tatsuya & Pence, Justin & Reihani, Seyed & Kee, Ernie & Mohaghegh, Zahra, 2019. "An algorithm for enhancing spatiotemporal resolution of probabilistic risk assessment to address emergent safety concerns in nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 405-428.
    6. Jin, Guang & Matthews, David E. & Zhou, Zhongbao, 2013. "A Bayesian framework for on-line degradation assessment and residual life prediction of secondary batteries inspacecraft," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 7-20.
    7. Li, Xinhong & Jia, Ruichao & Zhang, Renren & Yang, Shangyu & Chen, Guoming, 2022. "A KPCA-BRANN based data-driven approach to model corrosion degradation of subsea oil pipelines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    8. Sakurahara, Tatsuya & O'Shea, Nicholas & Cheng, Wen-Chi & Zhang, Sai & Reihani, Seyed & Kee, Ernie & Mohaghegh, Zahra, 2019. "Integrating renewal process modeling with Probabilistic Physics-of-Failure: Application to Loss of Coolant Accident (LOCA) frequency estimations in nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1-1.

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