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Adaptive calibration of a computer code with time-series output

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  • Perrin, G.

Abstract

Simulation plays a major role in the conception, the optimization and the certification of complex systems. Of particular interest here is the calibration of the parameters of computer models from high-dimensional physical observations. When the run times of these computer codes is high, this work focuses on the numerical challenges associated with the statistical inference. In particular, several adaptations of the Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) to the high-dimensional or functional output case are presented for the emulation of computer codes from limited data. Then, an adaptive procedure is detailed to minimize the calibration parameters uncertainty at the minimal computational cost. The proposed method is eventually applied to two applications that are based on dynamic simulators.

Suggested Citation

  • Perrin, G., 2020. "Adaptive calibration of a computer code with time-series output," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:196:y:2020:i:c:s0951832018311232
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.106728
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    9. Gaspar, B. & Teixeira, A.P. & Guedes Soares, C., 2017. "Adaptive surrogate model with active refinement combining Kriging and a trust region method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 277-291.
    10. Bayarri, M. J. & Berger, James O. & Kennedy, Marc C. & Kottas, Athanasios & Paulo, Rui & Sacks, Jerry & Cafeo, John A. & Lin, Chin-Hsu & Tu, Jian, 2009. "Predicting Vehicle Crashworthiness: Validation of Computer Models for Functional and Hierarchical Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(487), pages 929-943.
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    3. Neves Costa, João & Ambrósio, Jorge & Andrade, António R. & Frey, Daniel, 2023. "Safety assessment using computer experiments and surrogate modeling: Railway vehicle safety and track quality indices," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).

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