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Time-dependent reliability assessment of ship structures under progressive and shock deteriorations

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  • Liu, Yan
  • Frangopol, Dan M.

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to provide a rational reliability assessment of ship structures under multiple hazards during their lifetime. These hazards cause both progressive and shock deteriorations of structural performance. Time-dependent estimation of structural reliability must consider multiple failure modes. In this paper, the safety margins under progressive and shock hazards are evaluated separately for the associated failure modes. Considering the cumulative effect of multiple hazards during the lifetime, probabilistic structural deterioration process is represented by using cumulative-time approach. To present the multi-hazard analysis, corrosion and extreme lateral pressure are adopted as progressive and shock type hazards, respectively. Failure modes of buckling and permanent set are considered for safety and serviceability of a ship structure component. Side shell plating structure in a tanker is used to illustrate the evaluation of lifetime structural performance deterioration in multi-hazard environment.

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  • Liu, Yan & Frangopol, Dan M., 2018. "Time-dependent reliability assessment of ship structures under progressive and shock deteriorations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 116-128.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:173:y:2018:i:c:p:116-128
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2018.01.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Moan, Torgeir & Ayala-Uraga, Efren, 2008. "Reliability-based assessment of deteriorating ship structures operating in multiple sea loading climates," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(3), pages 433-446.
    2. Alberto Decò & Dan M. Frangopol, 2011. "Risk assessment of highway bridges under multiple hazards," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(9), pages 1057-1089, October.
    3. Wang, Cao & Zhang, Hao & Li, Quanwang, 2017. "Reliability assessment of aging structures subjected to gradual and shock deteriorations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 78-86.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Wu, Jingyi & Yu, Yang & Cheng, Siyuan & Li, Zhenmian & Yu, Jianxing, 2022. "Probabilistic multilevel robustness assessment framework for a TLP under mooring failure considering uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    3. Younseok Choi & Junkeon Ahn & Daejun Chang, 2021. "Time-Dependent Reliability Analysis of Plate-Stiffened Prismatic Pressure Vessel with Corrosion," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(13), pages 1-19, July.
    4. Duc-Vu Ngo & Jong-Kwon Lim & Dong-Hyawn Kim, 2022. "Reliability Analysis and Life Prediction of Aging LNG Unloading Arms Based on Non-Destructive Test Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-19, December.
    5. Jiang, Chen & Qiu, Haobo & Gao, Liang & Wang, Dapeng & Yang, Zan & Chen, Liming, 2020. "EEK-SYS: System reliability analysis through estimation error-guided adaptive Kriging approximation of multiple limit state surfaces," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    6. Yang, David Y. & Frangopol, Dan M., 2019. "Life-cycle management of deteriorating civil infrastructure considering resilience to lifetime hazards: A general approach based on renewal-reward processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 197-212.
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    8. Li, Shen & Kim, Do Kyun & Benson, Simon, 2021. "A probabilistic approach to assess the computational uncertainty of ultimate strength of hull girders," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).

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