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Dynamics of epidemic spreading with vaccination: Impact of social pressure and engagement

Author

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  • Pires, Marcelo A.
  • Crokidakis, Nuno

Abstract

In this work we consider a model of epidemic spreading coupled with an opinion dynamics in a fully-connected population. Regarding the opinion dynamics, the individuals may be in two distinct states, namely in favor or against a vaccination campaign. Individuals against the vaccination follow a standard SIS model, whereas the pro-vaccine individuals can also be in a third compartment, namely Vaccinated. In addition, the opinions change according to the majority-rule dynamics in groups with three individuals. We also consider that the vaccine can give permanent or temporary immunization to the individuals. By means of analytical calculations and computer simulations, we show that the opinion dynamics can drastically affect the disease propagation, and that the engagement of the pro-vaccine individuals can be crucial for stopping the epidemic spreading. The full numerical code for simulating the model is available from the authors’ webpage.

Suggested Citation

  • Pires, Marcelo A. & Crokidakis, Nuno, 2017. "Dynamics of epidemic spreading with vaccination: Impact of social pressure and engagement," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 467(C), pages 167-179.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:467:y:2017:i:c:p:167-179
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.10.004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Crokidakis, Nuno & de Oliveira, Paulo Murilo Castro, 2014. "The first shall be last: Selection-driven minority becomes majority," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 409(C), pages 48-52.
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    7. Han, Dun & Sun, Mei, 2014. "Can memory and conformism resolve the vaccination dilemma?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 415(C), pages 95-104.
    8. Ni, Shunjiang & Weng, Wenguo & Zhang, Hui, 2011. "Modeling the effects of social impact on epidemic spreading in complex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(23), pages 4528-4534.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Cheng, Chun & Luo, Yun & Yu, Changbin, 2020. "Dynamic mechanism of social bots interfering with public opinion in network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 551(C).
    2. Jia, Nan & Ding, Li & Liu, Yu-Jing & Hu, Ping, 2018. "Global stability and optimal control of epidemic spreading on multiplex networks with nonlinear mutual interaction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 502(C), pages 93-105.
    3. F. Jacobs & S. Galam, 2019. "Two-Opinions-Dynamics Generated By Inflexibles And Non-Contrarian And Contrarian Floaters," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(04), pages 1-30, June.
    4. Pires, Marcelo A. & Sampaio Filho, Cesar I.N. & Herrmann, Hans J. & Andrade, José S., 2023. "Tricritical behavior in epidemic dynamics with vaccination," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    5. Oestereich, André L. & Pires, Marcelo A. & Crokidakis, Nuno & Cajueiro, Daniel O., 2023. "Optimal rewiring in adaptive networks in multi-coupled vaccination, epidemic and opinion dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).

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