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Regional house price behaviour in the UK: application of a joint testing procedure

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  • Cook, Steven
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    Abstract

    The notion of a ripple effect in the UK housing market implies stationarity in regional:national house price ratios. In this paper a new means of examining this issue is proposed which involves the joint application of a powerful unit root test and a test of stationarity. In contrast to the previous studies which have failed to detect stationarity using the Dickey–Fuller unit root test, the proposed method uncovers stationarity for a number of regions. Monte Carlo evidence is presented to support and explain the empirical findings obtained. Importantly, it is found that in comparison to previously considered joint testing approaches and individual unit root tests, the proposed method dramatically reduces the frequency with which stationary series are mistakenly concluded by practitioners to possess a unit root.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications.

    Volume (Year): 345 (2005)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 611-621

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:345:y:2005:i:3:p:611-621

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    Web page: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/

    Related research

    Keywords: Stationarity; Unit roots; Joint testing; UK house prices;

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    Cited by:
    1. Mark J. Holmes & Arthur Grimes, 2005. "Is there long-run convergence of regional house prices in the UK?," Working Papers 05_11, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    2. John Muellbauer & Gavin Cameron & John Muellbauer, 2006. "Was There A British House Price Bubble? Evidence from a Regional Panel," Economics Series Working Papers 276, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    3. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2010. "Unit Roots and Structural Change: An Application to US House-Price Indices," Working papers 2010-04, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2010.
    4. Chen, Pei-Fen & Chien, Mei-Se & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2011. "Dynamic modeling of regional house price diffusion in Taiwan," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 315-332.
    5. Christophe Andre & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Comovement in Euro Area Housing Prices: A Fractional Cointegration Approach," Working Papers 201359, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Seema Narayan, 2011. "The importance of real and nominal shocks on the UK housing market," Financial Econometics Series 2011_05, Deakin University, Faculty of Business and Law, School of Accounting, Economics and Finance.
    7. Gavin Cameron & John Muellbauer & Anthony Murphy, 2005. "Booms, Busts and Ripples in British Regional Housing Markets," Macroeconomics 0512003, EconWPA.
    8. Mei-Se Chien, 2010. "Structural Breaks and the Convergence of Regional House Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 77-88, January.

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