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On the connection between ARCH time series and non-extensive statistical mechanics

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  • Duarte Queirós, Sı́lvio M.

Abstract

The ARCH(1) is a generator of stochastic discrete time series, {εt}, widely used in finance and characterised by conditional time-varying (and correlated) second-order moment. It involves a parameter, β and a noise, η. In this work one presents, through an analytical result, that ARCH(1) stationary distributions are well approached by the distributions that maximise the entropy, Sq=1−∫[p(x)]qdx1−q. Using the generalised Kullback–Leibler relative entropy, Iq, one also quantifies the degree of dependence between variables εt and εt′ and shows that the degree of dependence increases with parameter β.

Suggested Citation

  • Duarte Queirós, Sı́lvio M., 2004. "On the connection between ARCH time series and non-extensive statistical mechanics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 344(3), pages 619-625.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:344:y:2004:i:3:p:619-625
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2004.06.041
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    Cited by:

    1. S. M. Duarte Queiros, 2005. "On non-Gaussianity and dependence in financial time series: a nonextensive approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(5), pages 475-487.

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