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Cellular automata and epidemiological models with spatial dependence

Author

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  • Fuentes, M.A.
  • Kuperman, M.N.

Abstract

We present a cellular automata model developed to study the evolution of an infectivity nucleus in several conditions and for two kinds of epidemiologically different diseases. We analyse the role of the model parameters, concerning the epidemiological and demographic aspects of the problem, and of the evolution rules in relation to the spread of such infectious diseases, the arising of periodic temporal modulations related to the infectivity and recovery fronts, and the evolution of travelling waves. Among the obtained results we find analogies to endemic situations and pandemics.

Suggested Citation

  • Fuentes, M.A. & Kuperman, M.N., 1999. "Cellular automata and epidemiological models with spatial dependence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 267(3), pages 471-486.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:267:y:1999:i:3:p:471-486
    DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4371(99)00027-8
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    Cited by:

    1. Frank H. Koch & Denys Yemshanov & Daniel W. McKenney & William D. Smith, 2009. "Evaluating Critical Uncertainty Thresholds in a Spatial Model of Forest Pest Invasion Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(9), pages 1227-1241, September.
    2. Huiyu Xuan & Lida Xu & Lu Li, 2009. "A CA-based epidemic model for HIV/AIDS transmission with heterogeneity," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 168(1), pages 81-99, April.
    3. Schimit, P.H.T. & Monteiro, L.H.A., 2012. "On estimating the basic reproduction number in distinct stages of a contagious disease spreading," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 156-160.
    4. Mark C. Andersen & Heather Adams & Bruce Hope & Mark Powell, 2004. "Risk Analysis for Invasive Species: General Framework and Research Needs," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(4), pages 893-900, August.
    5. Mugnaine, Michele & Gabrick, Enrique C. & Protachevicz, Paulo R. & Iarosz, Kelly C. & de Souza, Silvio L.T. & Almeida, Alexandre C.L. & Batista, Antonio M. & Caldas, Iberê L. & Szezech Jr, José D. & V, 2022. "Control attenuation and temporary immunity in a cellular automata SEIR epidemic model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    6. Lu Tang & Yiwang Zhou & Lili Wang & Soumik Purkayastha & Leyao Zhang & Jie He & Fei Wang & Peter X.‐K. Song, 2020. "A Review of Multi‐Compartment Infectious Disease Models," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 88(2), pages 462-513, August.
    7. Fatima-Zohra Younsi & Ahmed Bounnekar & Djamila Hamdadou & Omar Boussaid, 2019. "Integration of Multiple Regression Model in an Epidemiological Decision Support System," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(06), pages 1755-1783, November.
    8. Bruno Bonté & Jean-Denis Mathias & Raphaël Duboz, 2012. "Moment Approximation of Infection Dynamics in a Population of Moving Hosts," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(12), pages 1-10, December.
    9. Schimit, P.H.T. & Monteiro, L.H.A., 2010. "Who should wear mask against airborne infections? Altering the contact network for controlling the spread of contagious diseases," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(9), pages 1329-1332.
    10. Schimit, P.H.T. & Monteiro, L.H.A., 2009. "On the basic reproduction number and the topological properties of the contact network: An epidemiological study in mainly locally connected cellular automata," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(7), pages 1034-1042.
    11. Denys Yemshanov & Frank H. Koch & Daniel W. McKenney & Marla C. Downing & Frank Sapio, 2009. "Mapping Invasive Species Risks with Stochastic Models: A Cross‐Border United States‐Canada Application for Sirex noctilio Fabricius," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(6), pages 868-884, June.
    12. Ilnytskyi, Jaroslav & Kozitsky, Yuri & Ilnytskyi, Hryhoriy & Haiduchok, Olena, 2016. "Stationary states and spatial patterning in an SIS epidemiology model with implicit mobility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 461(C), pages 36-45.
    13. Monteiro, L.H.A. & Sasso, J.B. & Chaui Berlinck, J.G., 2007. "Continuous and discrete approaches to the epidemiology of viral spreading in populations taking into account the delay of incubation time," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 553-557.

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