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Standard deviations implied in option prices as predictors of future stock price variability

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Beckers, Stan
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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Banking & Finance.

Volume (Year): 5 (1981)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Pages: 363-381
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Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:5:y:1981:i:3:p:363-381

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  1. Chikashi Tsuji, 2003. "Is Volatility the Best Predictor of Market Crashes?," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 163-185, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Owain Ap Gwilym, Mike Buckle, 1999. "Volatility forecasting in the framework of the option expiry cycle," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 73-94, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Christian Walter & Jose Lopez, 1997. "Is implied correlation worth calculating? Evidence from foreign exchange options and historical data," Research Paper 9730, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Ben Hunt, 1991. "A Forecasting Model of Option Pricing Volatility," Working Paper Series 10, School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
  5. Steven Li & Qianqian Yang, 2009. "The relationship between implied and realized volatility: evidence from the Australian stock index option market," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 405-419, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Richard K. Lyons, 1986. "Tests of the foreign exchange risk premium using the expected second moments implied by option pricing," International Finance Discussion Papers 290, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Siem Jan Koopman & Borus Jungbacker & Eugenie Hol, 2004. "Forecasting Daily Variability of the S&P 100 Stock Index using Historical, Realised and Implied Volatility Measurements," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 04-016/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Pilar Corredor Casado & Rafael Santamaría, . "La estructura temporal de las volatilidades implícitas en la opción sobre el Ibex-35," Studies on the Spanish Economy 04, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
  9. Cabedo, J. David & Moya Clemente, Ismael, 2005. "Implied Volatility as a Predictor: the Case of the IBEX-35 Future Contract/La volatilidad implícita como herramienta de predicción: una aplicación al contrato de futuro sobre Ibex 35," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 23, pages 67-78, Abril. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Eugenie Hol & Siem Jan Koopman, 2000. "Forecasting the Variability of Stock Index Returns with Stochastic Volatility Models and Implied Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 00-104/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
  11. Jose M. Campa & P. H. Kevin Chang, 1997. "The Forecasting Ability of Correlations Implied in Foreign Exchange Options," NBER Working Papers 5974, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Christopher J. Neely, 2005. "Using implied volatility to measure uncertainty about interest rates," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 407-425. [Downloadable!]
  13. Eric Ghysels & Andrew Harvey & Éric Renault, 1995. "Stochastic Volatility," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-49, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  14. Pilar Corredor-Casado & Rafael Santamaría-Aquilué, 2000. "La estructura temporal de las volatilidades implícitas en la opción sobre el IBEX-35," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 24(2), pages 385-417, May. [Downloadable!]
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