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The effects of asset price volatility on market participation: Evidence from the Thai foreign exchange market

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  • Koosakul, Jakree
  • Shim, Ilhyock

Abstract

Existing models of market participation offer contrasting predictions on the impact of asset price volatility on market participation. Utilising granular trading data from the Thai foreign exchange (FX) market, we test the empirical relevance of these predictions. We find that the volatility of the US dollar–Thai baht exchange rate has a positive effect on market participation measured by trading volume and average transaction size. This finding is consistent with the models illustrating that volatility increases participation as it creates profit-making opportunities. The result is robust to controlling for information flow that may generate a positive but non-causal relationship between volatility and participation. We also find heterogeneity across participant types. In particular, the impact of FX volatility on trading volume is positive for foreign end-customers and interbank players, but negative for local end-customers. This heterogeneity is explained by different purposes of FX transactions: financial returns for the former and real demand for the latter. Finally, we show that the impact of volatility on trading volume turns negative at high levels of volatility and during a period of high regulatory uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Koosakul, Jakree & Shim, Ilhyock, 2021. "The effects of asset price volatility on market participation: Evidence from the Thai foreign exchange market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:124:y:2021:i:c:s0378426620302971
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2020.106036
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ingomar Krohn & Vladyslav Sushko & Witit Synsatayakul, 2023. "Foreign investor feedback trading in an emerging financial market," BIS Working Papers 1154, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Zhao, Mengyang & Zhang, Lingxiao, 2023. "Foreign ownership, heterogeneous beliefs, and stock market volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    3. Usha Rekha Chinthapalli, 2021. "A Comparative Analysis on Probability of Volatility Clusters on Cryptocurrencies, and FOREX Currencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-23, July.
    4. Yamani, Ehab, 2023. "Return–volume nexus in financial markets: A survey of research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    5. Jieun Lee, 2023. "Dollar and government bond liquidity: evidence from Korea," BIS Working Papers 1145, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Chaturvedi, Priya & Kumar, Kuldeep, 2022. "Econometric modelling of exchange rate volatility using mixed-frequency data," MPRA Paper 115222, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset price volatility; Foreign exchange market; Investor type; Market participation; Nonlinear effect;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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