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Health screening strategies for international air travelers during an epidemic or pandemic

Author

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  • Gold, Lukas
  • Balal, Esmaeil
  • Horak, Tomas
  • Cheu, Ruey Long
  • Mehmetoglu, Tugba
  • Gurbuz, Okan

Abstract

Air travelers can carry an infectious disease's pathogenic microorganism in their bodies and spread the disease from one country to another in a few days. To delay the spread, health screening stations may be set up at airport terminals to screen travelers. This research tested three different health screening strategies, each with a different combination of screening stations at trip origins, destinations and connecting airports. Discrete event simulations were performed, based on the 2014 to 2016 Ebola virus epidemic, with special focus on travelers from the West African countries traveling to the United States, including travelers who transferred flights at airports in European Union member states. The effectiveness of the screening strategies was analyzed in terms of correct detection, missed detection and false alarm rate. The results showed that exit screening at trip origins brought big improvements in the performance measurements compared to no screening. However, additional screening at the destinations and connecting airports contributed marginal benefits.

Suggested Citation

  • Gold, Lukas & Balal, Esmaeil & Horak, Tomas & Cheu, Ruey Long & Mehmetoglu, Tugba & Gurbuz, Okan, 2019. "Health screening strategies for international air travelers during an epidemic or pandemic," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 27-38.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:75:y:2019:i:c:p:27-38
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2018.11.006
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    Cited by:

    1. Salesi, Vinolia Kilinaivoni & Kan Tsui, Wai Hong & Fu, Xiaowen & Gilbey, Andrew, 2022. "Strategies for South Pacific Region to address future pandemics: Implications for the aviation and tourism sectors based on a systematic literature review (2010–2021)," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 107-126.
    2. Akbar, Yusaf H. & Kisilowski, Maciej, 2020. "To bargain or not to bargain: Airlines, legitimacy and nonmarket strategy in a COVID-19 world," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    3. Warnock-Smith, David & Graham, Anne & O'Connell, John F. & Efthymiou, Marina, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 on air transport passenger markets: Examining evidence from the Chinese market," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    4. Samanci, Simge & Didem Atalay, Kumru & Bahar Isin, Feride, 2021. "Focusing on the big picture while observing the concerns of both managers and passengers in the post-covid era," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    5. Brown, Richard S. & Kline, William A., 2020. "Exogenous shocks and managerial preparedness: A study of U.S. airlines’ environmental scanning before the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    6. Schmalz, Ulrike & Ringbeck, Jürgen & Spinler, Stefan, 2021. "Door-to-door air travel: Exploring trends in corporate reports using text classification models," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    7. Panayotis Christidis & Aris Christodoulou, 2020. "The Predictive Capacity of Air Travel Patterns during the Global Spread of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Risk, Uncertainty and Randomness," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-15, May.
    8. Michelmann, Johannes & Schmalz, Ulrike & Becker, Axel & Stroh, Florian & Behnke, Sebastian & Hornung, Mirko, 2023. "Influence of COVID-19 on air travel - A scenario study toward future trusted aviation," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    9. Nikolaou, Paraskevas & Dimitriou, Loukas, 2020. "Identification of critical airports for controlling global infectious disease outbreaks: Stress-tests focusing in Europe," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    10. Tanrıverdi, Gökhan & Bakır, Mahmut & Merkert, Rico, 2020. "What can we learn from the JATM literature for the future of aviation post Covid-19? - A bibliometric and visualization analysis," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    11. Jiang, Yirui & Tran, Trung Hieu & Williams, Leon, 2023. "Machine learning and mixed reality for smart aviation: Applications and challenges," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

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