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Coupled Petri nets for computer network risk analysis

Author

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  • Henry, Matthew H.
  • Layer, Ryan M.
  • Zaret, David R.

Abstract

This paper presents a framework for quantifying the risk induced by the potential for cyber attacks levied against network-supported operations. It also permits a formal assessment of candidate risk management policies that address network host vulnerabilities and host-process coupling. The framework incorporates a novel application of Petri net state coverability analysis coupled with process failure mode analysis. It extends previous work on Petri nets for attack analysis in three ways: (i) new metrics that quantify risk as a function of Petri net state and techniques for evaluating the metrics based on the minimal coverability set of a Petri net; (ii) a new method for coupling a Petri net representation of a computer network attack to a process failure modes model; and (iii) a new method for identifying high-value risk management opportunities. The paper concludes by presenting an application of the analysis techniques to evaluate risk in process control networks.

Suggested Citation

  • Henry, Matthew H. & Layer, Ryan M. & Zaret, David R., 2010. "Coupled Petri nets for computer network risk analysis," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 67-75.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ijocip:v:3:y:2010:i:2:p:67-75
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcip.2010.05.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Matthew H. Henry & Yacov Y. Haimes, 2009. "A Comprehensive Network Security Risk Model for Process Control Networks," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(2), pages 223-248, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Knowles, William & Prince, Daniel & Hutchison, David & Disso, Jules Ferdinand Pagna & Jones, Kevin, 2015. "A survey of cyber security management in industrial control systems," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 52-80.
    2. J. S. Busby & B. Green & D. Hutchison, 2017. "Analysis of Affordance, Time, and Adaptation in the Assessment of Industrial Control System Cybersecurity Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(7), pages 1298-1314, July.

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