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Technical indicators and cross-sectional expected returns

Author

Listed:
  • Zeng, Hui
  • Marshall, Ben R.
  • Nguyen, Nhut H.
  • Visaltanachoti, Nuttawat

Abstract

This study shows that 14 widely documented technical indicators explain cross-sectional stock returns. These indicators have lower estimation errors than the three-factor Fama–French and historical mean models. The long-short portfolios based on the cross-sectional technical signals generate substantial excess returns. These remain consistent after controlling for well-known cross-sectional return determinants, including momentum, size, book-to-market ratio, investment, and profitability. Our findings suggest that technical indicators play an important role in determining variation in cross-sectional returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Zeng, Hui & Marshall, Ben R. & Nguyen, Nhut H. & Visaltanachoti, Nuttawat, 2023. "Technical indicators and cross-sectional expected returns," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:glofin:v:56:y:2023:i:c:s1044028322000837
    DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2022.100781
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cross-sectional stock returns; Technical indicators; Three-factor Fama-French model; Cross-sectional expected return determinants;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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