IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/econom/v206y2018i1p57-82.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Confidence regions for entries of a large precision matrix

Author

Listed:
  • Chang, Jinyuan
  • Qiu, Yumou
  • Yao, Qiwei
  • Zou, Tao

Abstract

We consider the statistical inference for high-dimensional precision matrices. Specifically, we propose a data-driven procedure for constructing a class of simultaneous confidence regions for a subset of the entries of a large precision matrix. The confidence regions can be applied to test for specific structures of a precision matrix, and to recover its nonzero components. We first construct an estimator for the precision matrix via penalized node-wise regression. We then develop the Gaussian approximation to approximate the distribution of the maximum difference between the estimated and the true precision coefficients.A computationally feasible parametric bootstrap algorithm is developed to implement the proposed procedure. The theoretical justification is established under the setting which allows temporal dependence among observations. Therefore the proposed procedure is applicable to both independent and identically distributed data and time series data. Numerical results with both simulated and real data confirm the good performance of the proposed method.

Suggested Citation

  • Chang, Jinyuan & Qiu, Yumou & Yao, Qiwei & Zou, Tao, 2018. "Confidence regions for entries of a large precision matrix," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(1), pages 57-82.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:206:y:2018:i:1:p:57-82
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2018.03.020
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407618300782
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jeconom.2018.03.020?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Y. Shapira & D. Y. Kenett & E. Ben-Jacob, 2009. "The Index cohesive effect on stock market correlations," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 72(4), pages 657-669, December.
    2. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Kengo Kato, 2013. "Testing Many Moment Inequalities," CeMMAP working papers 65/13, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    3. Chang, Jinyuan & Chen, Song Xi & Chen, Xiaohong, 2015. "High dimensional generalized empirical likelihood for moment restrictions with dependent data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(1), pages 283-304.
    4. Andrews, Donald W K, 1991. "Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 817-858, May.
    5. Peng, Jie & Wang, Pei & Zhou, Nengfeng & Zhu, Ji, 2009. "Partial Correlation Estimation by Joint Sparse Regression Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(486), pages 735-746.
    6. Nicholas M. Kiefer & Timothy J. Vogelsang & Helle Bunzel, 2000. "Simple Robust Testing of Regression Hypotheses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(3), pages 695-714, May.
    7. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Kengo Kato, 2012. "Gaussian approximations and multiplier bootstrap for maxima of sums of high-dimensional random vectors," Papers 1212.6906, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2018.
    8. Jinyuan Chang & Wen Zhou & Wen-Xin Zhou & Lan Wang, 2017. "Comparing large covariance matrices under weak conditions on the dependence structure and its application to gene clustering," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 73(1), pages 31-41, March.
    9. Ming Yuan & Yi Lin, 2007. "Model selection and estimation in the Gaussian graphical model," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 94(1), pages 19-35.
    10. Tony Cai & Weidong Liu & Yin Xia, 2013. "Two-Sample Covariance Matrix Testing and Support Recovery in High-Dimensional and Sparse Settings," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(501), pages 265-277, March.
    11. Jinyuan Chang & Chao Zheng & Wen‐Xin Zhou & Wen Zhou, 2017. "Simulation‐based hypothesis testing of high dimensional means under covariance heterogeneity," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 73(4), pages 1300-1310, December.
    12. Tingni Sun & Cun-Hui Zhang, 2012. "Scaled sparse linear regression," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 99(4), pages 879-898.
    13. Nordman, Daniel J. & Lahiri, Soumendra N., 2005. "Validity Of The Sampling Window Method For Long-Range Dependent Linear Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(6), pages 1087-1111, December.
    14. Chang, Jinyuan & Guo, Bin & Yao, Qiwei, 2018. "Principal component analysis for second-order stationary vector time series," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 84106, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    15. Dror Y Kenett & Michele Tumminello & Asaf Madi & Gitit Gur-Gershgoren & Rosario N Mantegna & Eshel Ben-Jacob, 2010. "Dominating Clasp of the Financial Sector Revealed by Partial Correlation Analysis of the Stock Market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 5(12), pages 1-14, December.
    16. Carrasco, Marine & Chen, Xiaohong, 2002. "Mixing And Moment Properties Of Various Garch And Stochastic Volatility Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(1), pages 17-39, February.
    17. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Dacheng Xiu, 2019. "Principal Component Analysis of High-Frequency Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(525), pages 287-303, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ekaterina Seregina, 2020. "A Basket Half Full: Sparse Portfolios," Papers 2011.04278, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
    2. Hafner, Christian M. & Linton, Oliver B. & Tang, Haihan, 2020. "Estimation of a multiplicative correlation structure in the large dimensional case," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 431-470.
    3. Chang, Jinyuan & Qiu, Yumou & Yao, Qiwei & Zou, Tao, 2018. "Confidence regions for entries of a large precision matrix," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87513, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Caner, Mehmet & Medeiros, Marcelo & Vasconcelos, Gabriel F.R., 2023. "Sharpe Ratio analysis in high dimensions: Residual-based nodewise regression in factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 393-417.
    5. Yumou Qiu & Jing Tao & Xiao‐Hua Zhou, 2021. "Inference of heterogeneous treatment effects using observational data with high‐dimensional covariates," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 83(5), pages 1016-1043, November.
    6. Haoyan Hu & Yumou Qiu, 2023. "Inference for nonparanormal partial correlation via regularized rank‐based nodewise regression," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(2), pages 1173-1186, June.
    7. Chang, Jinyuan & Jiang, Qing & Shao, Xiaofeng, 2023. "Testing the martingale difference hypothesis in high dimension," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 972-1000.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chang, Jinyuan & Qiu, Yumou & Yao, Qiwei & Zou, Tao, 2018. "Confidence regions for entries of a large precision matrix," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87513, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Chang, Jinyuan & Jiang, Qing & Shao, Xiaofeng, 2023. "Testing the martingale difference hypothesis in high dimension," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 972-1000.
    3. Chang, Jinyuan & Yao, Qiwei & Zhou, Wen, 2017. "Testing for high-dimensional white noise using maximum cross-correlations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68531, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. He, Yong & Zhang, Mingjuan & Zhang, Xinsheng & Zhou, Wang, 2020. "High-dimensional two-sample mean vectors test and support recovery with factor adjustment," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    5. Seunghwan Lee & Sang Cheol Kim & Donghyeon Yu, 2023. "An efficient GPU-parallel coordinate descent algorithm for sparse precision matrix estimation via scaled lasso," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 38(1), pages 217-242, March.
    6. Chen, Song Xi & Guo, Bin & Qiu, Yumou, 2023. "Testing and signal identification for two-sample high-dimensional covariances via multi-level thresholding," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1337-1354.
    7. Chen, Xin & Yang, Dan & Xu, Yan & Xia, Yin & Wang, Dong & Shen, Haipeng, 2023. "Testing and support recovery of correlation structures for matrix-valued observations with an application to stock market data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 544-564.
    8. Baek, Changryong & Gates, Katheleen M. & Leinwand, Benjamin & Pipiras, Vladas, 2021. "Two sample tests for high-dimensional autocovariances," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    9. Victor Chernozhukov & Wolfgang Härdle & Chen Huang & Weining Wang, 2018. "LASSO-driven inference in time and space," CeMMAP working papers CWP36/18, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    10. Bar, Haim & Wells, Martin T., 2023. "On graphical models and convex geometry," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    11. Li, Jia & Liao, Zhipeng, 2020. "Uniform nonparametric inference for time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 38-51.
    12. Zhengbang Li & Fuxiang Liu & Luanjie Zeng & Guoxin Zuo, 2021. "A stationary bootstrap test about two mean vectors comparison with somewhat dense differences and fewer sample size than dimension," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 941-960, June.
    13. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Kengo Kato & Yuta Koike, 2022. "High-dimensional Data Bootstrap," Papers 2205.09691, arXiv.org.
    14. Matei Demetrescu & Christoph Hanck & Robinson Kruse‐Becher, 2022. "Robust inference under time‐varying volatility: A real‐time evaluation of professional forecasters," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 1010-1030, August.
    15. Bunzel, Helle, 2006. "FIXED-b ASYMPTOTICS IN SINGLE-EQUATION COINTEGRATION MODELS WITH ENDOGENOUS REGRESSORS," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 743-755, August.
    16. Sun, Yixiao X & Phillips, Peter C. B. & Jin, Sainan, 2005. "Optimal Bandwidth Selection in Heteroskedasticity-Autocorrelation Robust Testing∗," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt16b3j2hd, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    17. Xu, Ke-Li, 2012. "Robustifying multivariate trend tests to nonstationary volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 147-154.
    18. Xiaofeng Shao, 2010. "A self‐normalized approach to confidence interval construction in time series," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 72(3), pages 343-366, June.
    19. repec:ctc:serie1:def11 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Nie, Chun-Xiao, 2020. "Correlation dynamics in the cryptocurrency market based on dimensionality reduction analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 554(C).
    21. Federico Belotti & Alessandro Casini & Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi & Pierre Perron, 2023. "Simultaneous bandwidths determination for DK-HAC estimators and long-run variance estimation in nonparametric settings," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 281-306, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bias correction; Dependent data; High dimensionality; Kernel estimation; Parametric bootstrap; Precision matrix;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:206:y:2018:i:1:p:57-82. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.