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Modelling the effects of ionising radiation on a vole population from the Chernobyl Red forest in an ecological context

Author

Listed:
  • Vives i Batlle, J.
  • Sazykina, T.
  • Kryshev, A.
  • Wood, M.D.
  • Smith, K.
  • Copplestone, D.
  • Biermans, G.

Abstract

A novel mathematical model was developed to study the historical effects of ionising radiation from the 1986 Chernobyl accident on a vole population. The model uses an ecosystem approach combining radiation damages and repair, life history and ecological interactions. The influence of reproduction, mortality and factors such as ecosystem resource, spatial heterogeneity and migration are included. Radiation-induced damages are represented by a radiosensitive ‘repairing pool’ mediating between healthy, damaged and radio-adapted animals. The endpoints of the model are repairable radiation damage (morbidity), impairment of reproductive ability and mortality.

Suggested Citation

  • Vives i Batlle, J. & Sazykina, T. & Kryshev, A. & Wood, M.D. & Smith, K. & Copplestone, D. & Biermans, G., 2020. "Modelling the effects of ionising radiation on a vole population from the Chernobyl Red forest in an ecological context," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 438(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:438:y:2020:i:c:s0304380020303768
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2020.109306
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marc L. Rigas, 2000. "Software Review: Modelmaker 4.0," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 20(4), pages 543-544, August.
    2. Ibrahim, Lara & Preuss, Thomas G. & Schaeffer, Andreas & Hommen, Udo, 2014. "A contribution to the identification of representative vulnerable fish species for pesticide risk assessment in Europe—A comparison of population resilience using matrix models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 280(C), pages 65-75.
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