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Bayesian semi-individual based model with approximate Bayesian computation for parameters calibration: Modelling Crown-of-Thorns populations on the Great Barrier Reef

Author

Listed:
  • Chen, C.C.-M.
  • Drovandi, C.C.
  • Keith, J.M.
  • Anthony, K.
  • Caley, M.J.
  • Mengersen, K.L.

Abstract

Outbreaks of Crown-of-Thorns Starfish (CoTS), Acanthaster planci, are a major cause of coral decline on the Great Barrier Reef, second only to cyclones. Although various models have been developed in the past to assist management decision making, most of these models were cohort-based deterministic descriptions with little inclusion of parameter and individual uncertainties, or they were structured around a generic ecological modelling framework, or they were not calibrated with observational data.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, C.C.-M. & Drovandi, C.C. & Keith, J.M. & Anthony, K. & Caley, M.J. & Mengersen, K.L., 2017. "Bayesian semi-individual based model with approximate Bayesian computation for parameters calibration: Modelling Crown-of-Thorns populations on the Great Barrier Reef," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 364(C), pages 113-123.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:364:y:2017:i:c:p:113-123
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.09.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. C. C. Drovandi & A. N. Pettitt, 2011. "Estimation of Parameters for Macroparasite Population Evolution Using Approximate Bayesian Computation," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 67(1), pages 225-233, March.
    2. van der Vaart, Elske & Beaumont, Mark A. & Johnston, Alice S.A. & Sibly, Richard M., 2015. "Calibration and evaluation of individual-based models using Approximate Bayesian Computation," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 312(C), pages 182-190.
    3. Brenda N Vo & Christopher C Drovandi & Anthony N Pettitt & Graeme J Pettet, 2015. "Melanoma Cell Colony Expansion Parameters Revealed by Approximate Bayesian Computation," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(12), pages 1-22, December.
    4. Maxime Lenormand & Franck Jabot & Guillaume Deffuant, 2013. "Adaptive approximate Bayesian computation for complex models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 28(6), pages 2777-2796, December.
    5. repec:dau:papers:123456789/5724 is not listed on IDEAS
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