IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v348y2017icp14-24.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predicting the impact of Lake Biomanipulation based on food-web modeling—Lake Kinneret as a case study

Author

Listed:
  • Ofir, E.
  • Heymans, J.J.
  • Shapiro, J.
  • Goren, M.
  • Spanier, E.
  • Gal, G.

Abstract

Biomanipulation is a tool decision makers use to achieve desirable management goals. In lakes, one of the most common goals is the improvement of water quality, an objective that can be achieved mainly by reducing the amount of phytoplankton in the water. Although it is a very clear goal that is achievable by using actions that affect the phytoplankton biomass, experience shows that primary biomanipulation goals are rarely achieved. A biomanipulation program was conducted in Lake Kinneret over a 12-year period with the goal of improving water quality by reducing the population of the dominant fish species in the lake. However, the biomanipulation failed to achieve the goal and the program was stopped. We used Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) scenarios to examine the effect of biomanipulation on the ecosystem. The results of these scenarios show that biomanipulation actions, such as those used in the lake, indeed fail to improve water quality; furthermore, they will actually increase the amount of phytoplankton in the water and decrease water quality. The development of the method described in the present article provides managers with the means to evaluate the effect of biomanipulation on an ecosystem. This method enables researches to conduct a pre-action analysis of the planned measures and examine whether the goal can be achieved, saving money and time and preventing damage to the ecosystem.

Suggested Citation

  • Ofir, E. & Heymans, J.J. & Shapiro, J. & Goren, M. & Spanier, E. & Gal, G., 2017. "Predicting the impact of Lake Biomanipulation based on food-web modeling—Lake Kinneret as a case study," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 348(C), pages 14-24.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:348:y:2017:i:c:p:14-24
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.12.019
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380016308584
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.12.019?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Heymans, Johanna Jacomina & Coll, Marta & Link, Jason S. & Mackinson, Steven & Steenbeek, Jeroen & Walters, Carl & Christensen, Villy, 2016. "Best practice in Ecopath with Ecosim food-web models for ecosystem-based management," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 331(C), pages 173-184.
    2. Gal, G. & Hipsey, M.R. & Parparov, A. & Wagner, U. & Makler, V. & Zohary, T., 2009. "Implementation of ecological modeling as an effective management and investigation tool: Lake Kinneret as a case study," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(13), pages 1697-1718.
    3. Ofir, E. & Gal, G. & Goren, M. & Shapiro, J. & Spanier, E., 2016. "Detecting changes to the functioning of a lake ecosystem following a regime shift based on static food-web models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 320(C), pages 145-157.
    4. Mackinson, S. & Daskalov, G. & Heymans, J.J. & Neira, S. & Arancibia, H. & Zetina-Rejón, M. & Jiang, H. & Cheng, H.Q. & Coll, M. & Arreguin-Sanchez, F. & Keeble, K. & Shannon, L., 2009. "Which forcing factors fit? Using ecosystem models to investigate the relative influence of fishing and changes in primary productivity on the dynamics of marine ecosystems," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(21), pages 2972-2987.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Püts, Miriam & Taylor, Marc & Núñez-Riboni, Ismael & Steenbeek, Jeroen & Stäbler, Moritz & Möllmann, Christian & Kempf, Alexander, 2020. "Insights on integrating habitat preferences in process-oriented ecological models – a case study of the southern North Sea," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 431(C).
    2. Barros, Mónica E. & Arriagada, Ana & Arancibia, Hugo & Neira, Sergio, 2024. "Using a time-dynamic food web model to compare predation and fishing mortality in Pleuroncodes monodon (Galatheidae: Crustaceae) and other benthic and demersal resource species off central Chile," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 487(C).
    3. Coll, Marta & Steenbeek, Jeroen & Sole, Jordi & Palomera, Isabel & Christensen, Villy, 2016. "Modelling the cumulative spatial–temporal effects of environmental drivers and fishing in a NW Mediterranean marine ecosystem," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 331(C), pages 100-114.
    4. Lercari, Diego & Defeo, Omar & Ortega, Leonardo & Orlando, Luis & Gianelli, Ignacio & Celentano, Eleonora, 2018. "Long-term structural and functional changes driven by climate variability and fishery regimes in a sandy beach ecosystem," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 368(C), pages 41-51.
    5. Coll, M. & Pennino, M. Grazia & Steenbeek, J. & Sole, J. & Bellido, J.M., 2019. "Predicting marine species distributions: Complementarity of food-web and Bayesian hierarchical modelling approaches," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 405(C), pages 86-101.
    6. Booth, Shawn & Walters, William J & Steenbeek, Jeroen & Christensen, Villy & Charmasson, Sabine, 2020. "An Ecopath with Ecosim model for the Pacific coast of eastern Japan: Describing the marine environment and its fisheries prior to the Great East Japan earthquake," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 428(C).
    7. Zhang, Xiaoqing & Recknagel, Friedrich & Chen, Qiuwen & Cao, Hongqing & Li, Ruonan, 2015. "Spatially-explicit modelling and forecasting of cyanobacteria growth in Lake Taihu by evolutionary computation," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 306(C), pages 216-225.
    8. Borrett, Stuart R. & Sheble, Laura & Moody, James & Anway, Evan C., 2018. "Bibliometric review of ecological network analysis: 2010–2016," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 382(C), pages 63-82.
    9. Tomczak, M.T. & Niiranen, S. & Hjerne, O. & Blenckner, T., 2012. "Ecosystem flow dynamics in the Baltic Proper—Using a multi-trophic dataset as a basis for food–web modelling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 123-147.
    10. Tesfaye, Gashaw & Wolff, Matthias, 2018. "Modeling trophic interactions and the impact of an introduced exotic carp species in the Rift Valley Lake Koka, Ethiopia," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 378(C), pages 26-36.
    11. Li, Yu & Waite, Anya M. & Gal, Gideon & Hipsey, Matthew R., 2013. "An analysis of the relationship between phytoplankton internal stoichiometry and water column N:P ratios in a dynamic lake environment," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 252(C), pages 196-213.
    12. Weinberger, Stefan & Vetter, Mark, 2012. "Using the hydrodynamic model DYRESM based on results of a regional climate model to estimate water temperature changes at Lake Ammersee," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 244(C), pages 38-48.
    13. Ricci, P. & Serpetti, N. & Cascione, D. & Cipriano, G. & D'Onghia, G. & De Padova, D. & Fanizza, C. & Ingrosso, M. & Carlucci, R., 2023. "Investigating fishery and climate change effects on the conservation status of odontocetes in the Northern Ionian Sea (Central Mediterranean Sea)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 485(C).
    14. Gray DiLeone, A.M. & Ainsworth, C.H., 2019. "Effects of Karenia brevis harmful algal blooms on fish community structure on the West Florida Shelf," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 392(C), pages 250-267.
    15. Perryman, Holly A. & Tarnecki, Joseph H. & Grüss, Arnaud & Babcock, Elizabeth A. & Sagarese, Skyler R. & Ainsworth, Cameron H. & Gray DiLeone, Alisha M., 2020. "A revised diet matrix to improve the parameterization of a West Florida Shelf Ecopath model for understanding harmful algal bloom impacts," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 416(C).
    16. Chung, S.W. & Imberger, J. & Hipsey, M.R. & Lee, H.S., 2014. "The influence of physical and physiological processes on the spatial heterogeneity of a Microcystis bloom in a stratified reservoir," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 289(C), pages 133-149.
    17. Gilboa, Yael & Friedler, Eran & Gal, Gideon, 2009. "Adapting empirical equations to Lake Kinneret data by using three calibration methods," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(23), pages 3291-3300.
    18. Farrell, Kaitlin J. & Ward, Nicole K. & Krinos, Arianna I. & Hanson, Paul C. & Daneshmand, Vahid & Figueiredo, Renato J. & Carey, Cayelan C., 2020. "Ecosystem-scale nutrient cycling responses to increasing air temperatures vary with lake trophic state," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 430(C).
    19. Natugonza, Vianny & Ogutu-Ohwayo, Richard & Musinguzi, Laban & Kashindye, Benedicto & Jónsson, Steingrímur & Valtysson, Hreidar Thor, 2016. "Exploring the structural and functional properties of the Lake Victoria food web, and the role of fisheries, using a mass balance model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 342(C), pages 161-174.
    20. Evan Howell & Colette Wabnitz & John Dunne & Jeffrey Polovina, 2013. "Climate-induced primary productivity change and fishing impacts on the Central North Pacific ecosystem and Hawaii-based pelagic longline fishery," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 119(1), pages 79-93, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:348:y:2017:i:c:p:14-24. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.