IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v201y2007i2p127-143.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Local population dynamics of an invasive tree species with a complex life-history cycle: A stochastic matrix model

Author

Listed:
  • Sebert-Cuvillier, Emmanuelle
  • Paccaut, Frédéric
  • Chabrerie, Olivier
  • Endels, Patrick
  • Goubet, Olivier
  • Decocq, Guillaume

Abstract

Biological invasions are widely accepted as having a major impact on ecosystem functioning worldwide, giving urgency to a better understanding of the factors that control their spread. Modelling tools have been developed for this purpose but are often discrete-space, discrete-time spatial-mechanistic models that adopt a computer simulation approach and resist mathematical analysis. We constructed a simple demographic matrix model to explore the local population dynamics of an invasive species with a complex life history and whose invasive success depends on resource availability, which occurs stochastically. As a case study we focused on the American black cherry (Prunus serotina Ehrh.), a gap-dependent tree able both to constitute a long-living seedling bank under unfavourable light conditions and to resprout vigorously once cut-down, which is invading European temperate forests. The model used was a stage-classified matrix population model (i.e., Lefkovitch matrix), integrating environmental stochasticity. Stochastic matrix projection analysis was combined with elasticity analysis and stochastic simulations to search for the species’ ‘Achille heel’. As expected, the population growth rate (i.e., Lyapunov exponent), which measures the risk of P. serotina invasion at the stand scale, increased with light frequency. There was a critical value above which the population of P. serotina explodes and below which it locally goes extinct. The resprouting capacity usually speed up the invasion but appeared to play a minor role. The mean duration of stand invasion was measured and important life stage transitions that mostly contribute to the local stochastic growth rate were identified. Some relevant management implications are discussed and the interest of such models for the understanding of demographic characteristics of invasive species is stressed.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebert-Cuvillier, Emmanuelle & Paccaut, Frédéric & Chabrerie, Olivier & Endels, Patrick & Goubet, Olivier & Decocq, Guillaume, 2007. "Local population dynamics of an invasive tree species with a complex life-history cycle: A stochastic matrix model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 127-143.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:201:y:2007:i:2:p:127-143
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.09.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380006004157
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.09.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Brancatelli, Gabriela I.E. & Amodeo, Martín R. & Zalba, Sergio M., 2022. "Demographic model for Aleppo pine invading Argentinean grasslands," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 473(C).
    2. Bown, James L. & Pachepsky, Elizaveta & Eberst, Alistair & Bausenwein, Ursula & Millard, Peter & Squire, Geoff R. & Crawford, John W., 2007. "Consequences of intraspecific variation for the structure and function of ecological communities," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 264-276.
    3. Fargue-Lelièvre, A. & Le Cœur, D. & Baudry, J., 2011. "Integrating farming techniques in an ecological matrix model: Implementation on the primrose (Primula vulgaris)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(4), pages 1002-1015.
    4. arnaud dragicevic, 2012. "Bayesian Population Dynamics of Spreading Species," THEMA Working Papers 2012-30, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    5. Vuilleumier, S. & Buttler, A. & Perrin, N. & Yearsley, J.M., 2011. "Invasion and eradication of a competitively superior species in heterogeneous landscapes," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(3), pages 398-406.
    6. Picard, Nicolas & Bar-Hen, Avner & Gourlet-Fleury, Sylvie, 2007. "Estimator of upgrowth transition rates for size-classified matrix from small samples," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 59-69.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:201:y:2007:i:2:p:127-143. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.