IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/anture/v92y2022ics0160738321001377.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Probability-density risk-maps for tourism during emergencies

Author

Listed:
  • Pantano, Eleonora
  • Scarpi, Daniele
  • Vannucci, Virginia
  • Bilotta, Eleonora
  • Pantano, Pietro

Abstract

•Emergencies negatively affect tourism as people are afraid for their safety.•We develop a dynamic probability-density risk model to map an area's actual risk.•Exploiting public data, an example on London, shows these maps' dynamic risk-representation.•We show that these maps help tourism during emergencies yet preserve people's safety.•These maps constitute a predictive model to formulate tourism scenarios and guide policy-making.

Suggested Citation

  • Pantano, Eleonora & Scarpi, Daniele & Vannucci, Virginia & Bilotta, Eleonora & Pantano, Pietro, 2022. "Probability-density risk-maps for tourism during emergencies," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:anture:v:92:y:2022:i:c:s0160738321001377
    DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2021.103259
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160738321001377
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.annals.2021.103259?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Park, Sangwon, 2020. "Multifaceted trust in tourism service robots," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Karabulut, Gokhan & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin & Demir, Ender & Doker, Asli Cansin, 2020. "How pandemics affect tourism: International evidence," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    3. P. Castorina & A. Iorio & D. Lanteri, 2020. "Data analysis on Coronavirus spreading by macroscopic growth laws," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 31(07), pages 1-12, July.
    4. Ritchie, Brent W. & Jiang, Yawei, 2019. "A review of research on tourism risk, crisis and disaster management: Launching the annals of tourism research curated collection on tourism risk, crisis and disaster management," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Wolff, Katharina & Larsen, Svein & Øgaard, Torvald, 2019. "How to define and measure risk perceptions," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marko Perić & Vanja Vitezić, 2021. "Tourism Getting Back to Life after COVID-19: Can Artificial Intelligence Help?," Societies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-13, September.
    2. Davide Provenzano & Serena Volo, 2022. "Tourism recovery amid COVID-19: The case of Lombardy, Italy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(1), pages 110-130, February.
    3. Corbet, Shaen & Efthymiou, Marina & Lucey, Brian & O'Connell, John F., 2021. "When lightning strikes twice: The tragedy-induced demise and attempted corporate resuscitation of Malaysia airlines," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    4. Feng, Wenting & Liu, Yizhuo & Li, Dongmei, 2022. "Emotional or rational? The congruence effect of message appeals and country stereotype on tourists' international travel intentions," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    5. Walters, Gabby & Magor, Thomas & Kelly, Sarah & Wallin, Ann, 2022. "Cruising through a pandemic: Or not?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    6. Leon John Mach, 2021. "Surf Tourism in Uncertain Times: Resident Perspectives on the Sustainability Implications of COVID-19," Societies, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-15, July.
    7. Tian Wang & Zhaoping Yang & Xiaodong Chen & Fang Han, 2022. "Bibliometric Analysis and Literature Review of Tourism Destination Resilience Research," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-16, May.
    8. Jang, Seongsoo & Park, Jin Suk & Choi, Youngseok Thomas, 2022. "Organizational resource and resilience in tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    9. Erica Mingotto & Michele Tamma, 2021. "Covid-19 and recovery strategies. Some insights from an ongoing exploratory study in the Italian hospitality industry: the case of the historic city centre of Venice," Working Papers 02, Department of Management, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia.
    10. Chung-Wei Kuo, 2021. "Can We Return to Our Normal Life When the Pandemic Is under Control? A Preliminary Study on the Influence of COVID-19 on the Tourism Characteristics of Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-17, August.
    11. Shiqi Zhang & Tianwei Sun & Yuan Lu, 2023. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and Tourists’ Risk Perceptions: Tourism Policies’ Mediating Role in Sustainable and Resilient Recovery in the New Normal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-20, January.
    12. Nano Prawoto & Eko Priyo Purnomo & Abitassha Az Zahra, 2020. "The Impacts of Covid-19 Pandemic on Socio-Economic Mobility in Indonesia," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(3), pages 57-71.
    13. Tsung-Hung Lee & Fen-Hauh Jan, 2022. "How Does Personality Affect COVID-19 Pandemic Travel Risk Perceptions and Behaviors? Evidence from Segment Analysis in Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    14. Zhong, Lina & Verma, Rohit & Wei, Wenqi & Morrsion, Alastair M. & Yang, Liyu, 2022. "Multi-stakeholder perspectives on the impacts of service robots in urban hotel rooms," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    15. Diego R. Toubes & Noelia Araújo-Vila & José A. Fraiz-Brea, 2021. "Organizational Learning Capacity and Sustainability Challenges in Times of Crisis: A Study on Tourism SMEs in Galicia (Spain)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-17, October.
    16. Liudmyla Matviichuk & Iryna Karpiuk, 2021. "Search for prospects for the development of the hotel business on the example of the regions of Ukraine," Technology audit and production reserves, Socionet;Technology audit and production reserves, vol. 4(4(60)), pages 24-28.
    17. Yang, Eunjung & Kim, Jinwon & Pennington-Gray, Lori & Ash, Kevin, 2021. "Does tourism matter in measuring community resilience?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    18. Wei Quan & Jichul Jang & Aleksandar Radic & Antonio Ariza-Montes & Heesup Han, 2023. "Safe Destination Choice Among Tourism-Product Consumers in the New Era of Tourism," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, October.
    19. Teng Zhao, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 Awareness on Protective Behaviors during the Off-Peak Period: Sex Differences among Chinese Undergraduates," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(20), pages 1-11, October.
    20. Xi Wu & Adam Blake, 2023. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Air Travel Demand: Some Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:anture:v:92:y:2022:i:c:s0160738321001377. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/annals-of-tourism-research/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.