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Antes de que sea demasiado tarde: transición demográfica, mano de obra disponible y problemas de la seguridad social en el Brasil

Author

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  • Turra, Cassio M.
  • Queiroz, Bernardo L.

Abstract

En este documento se brindan pruebas empíricas en respaldo de la tesis de que la falta de políticas adecuadas puede anular algunos de los beneficios temporales de los cambios demográficos y agravar los efectos adversos del envejecimiento de la población. Al demostrar que el sistema de la seguridad social del Brasil funciona con menos eficiencia que la deseada, los autores contribuyen al debate acerca de la manera en que las opciones cruciales de políticas pueden reducir el posible impacto económico de los cambios demográficos. Si bien no se han realizado pruebas directas para determinar el efecto del financiamiento adecuado de la seguridad social en el crecimiento económico, se usan proyecciones hipotéticas de las tasas de dependencia de la seguridad social para demostrar de qué manera la política demográfica y la evolución económica pueden ejercer un impacto en la seguridad social e incluso reducir el posible dividendo demográfico.

Suggested Citation

  • Turra, Cassio M. & Queiroz, Bernardo L., 2009. "Antes de que sea demasiado tarde: transición demográfica, mano de obra disponible y problemas de la seguridad social en el Brasil," Notas de Población, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col071:12838
    Note: Incluye Bibliografía
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    Cited by:

    1. Amaral, Ernesto F. L. & Rios-Neto, Eduardo L G & Potter, Joseph E, 2012. "Long term influences of age-education transition on the Brazilian labour market," OSF Preprints 2e4f3, Center for Open Science.
    2. Amaral, Ernesto F. L., 2012. "The decomposition of economic outcomes as a result of changes in Brazil’s male age-education structure," OSF Preprints e6v5c, Center for Open Science.
    3. Ernesto Lima Amaral, 2012. "The Decomposition of Economic Outcomes as a Result of Changes in Brazil’s Male Age–Education Structure," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 31(6), pages 883-905, December.
    4. Cassio M. Turra & Bernardo L Queiroz & Eduardo L. G. Rios-Neto, 2011. "Idiosyncrasies of intergenerational transfers in Brazil," Chapters, in: Ronald Lee & Andrew Mason (ed.), Population Aging and the Generational Economy, chapter 21, Edward Elgar Publishing.

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