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Turkiye’de Butce Hakkinin Dogruluk Ilkesi Cercevesinde Degerlendirilmesi

Author

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  • Vuslat GÜNES

    (Hatay Mustafa Kemal Universitesi, Iktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Fakultesi, Maliye Bolumu)

Abstract

Parlamenter sistemin ozu butce hakkina dayanmaktadir. Baska bir ifadeyle, temsili demokraside halkin butce hakkini kullanabilmesi amaci ile parlamentolar olusturulmustur. Ancak bugun parlamentolarin butce hakkini ne kadar etkin kullanabildigi tartisilmaktadir. Parlamentonun butce hakkini kullanabilme etkinligini anlamanin yollarindan birisi, merkezi yonetim butce gelir ve gider tahminlerinin dogrulugunu degerlendirmektir. Bu calýsmada Turkiye’de 1996-2020 donemine iliskin merkezi yonetim butce gelir ve gider tahminlerinin dogruluk ilkesi araciligiyla degerlendirilmesi amaclanmistir. Calýsmada tahminlerin dogrulugu “Tahmin Hatasinin Hesaplanmasi” yontemi araciligiyla incelenmistir. Sonuc olarak çalýsmada butce hakkini etkinsizlestirecek sekildeki tahmin hatalarinin sureklilik gostermedigine ulasildi. Bununla birlikte gelir ve gider acisindan bazi yillar ciddi tahmin hatalarina rastlanilmistir. Ayrica 1996-2020 yillari arasinda gider tahminlerinde gelir tahminlerine kiyasla daha önemli sapmalarin oldugu gorulmustur.

Suggested Citation

  • Vuslat GÜNES, 2022. "Turkiye’de Butce Hakkinin Dogruluk Ilkesi Cercevesinde Degerlendirilmesi," Isletme ve Iktisat Calismalari Dergisi, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 95-109.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ4:2022-02-03
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dogruluk Ilkesi; Butçe Hakki; Tahmin Hatasi Yontemi;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H61 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Budget; Budget Systems
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • H68 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt

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