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Anticipation and the Valuation of Delayed Consumption

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Author Info
Loewenstein, George

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Abstract

This paper presents a model of intertemporal choice that incorporates "savoring" and "dread"-i.e., utility from anticipat ion of delayed consumption. The model explains why an individual with positive time preference may delay desirable outcomes or get unpleas ant outcomes over with quickly, contrary to the prediction of convent ional formulations of intertemporal choice. Implications of savoring and dread for savings behavior, empirical estimation of discount rate s, and public policy efforts to combat myopic behavior are explored. The model provides an explanation for common violations of the indepe ndence axiom as applied to intertemporal choice. Copyright 1987 by Royal Economic Society.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Royal Economic Society in its journal The Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 97 (1987)
Issue (Month): 387 (September)
Pages: 666-84
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Handle: RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:97:y:1987:i:387:p:666-84

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  4. Bütler, Monika & Teppa, Federica, 2005. "Should You Take a Lump-Sum or Annuitize? Results from Swiss Pension Funds," CEPR Discussion Papers 5316, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Fischer, Carolyn, 1999. "Read This Paper Even Later: Procrastination with Time-Inconsistent Preferences," Discussion Papers dp-99-20, Resources For the Future. [Downloadable!]
  7. J.K. Horowitz, 2002. "Preferences in the Future," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 21(3), pages 241-258, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Jeroen C.J.M. van den Bergh & Ada Ferrer-I-Carbonell & Guiseppe Munda, 1998. "Models of Individual Behavior and Implications for Environmental Policy," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-121/3, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Maribeth Coller & Melonie Williams, 1999. "Eliciting Individual Discount Rates," Experimental Economics, Springer, vol. 2(2), pages 107-127, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Martin Luckert & Wiktor Adamowicz, 1993. "Empirical measures of factors affecting social rates of discount," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 3(1), pages 1-21, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Paola Manzini, 2001. "Time preferences: do they matter in bargaining?," Experimental 0106001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  17. Jeff Richardson & John McKie, 2005. "Reassurance, regret and uncertainty: testing ex ante sources of (dis)utility and the welfarist account of social welfare," Centre for Health Economics Working Papers 153/05, Monash University, Centre for Health Economics. [Downloadable!]
  18. Andrew Caplin & John Leahy, 2001. "The social discount rate," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 137, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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  21. Colin Camerer, 1998. "Bounded Rationality in Individual Decision Making," Experimental Economics, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 163-183, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  22. Luigi Mittone & Lucia Savadori, 2008. "Influence of time delay on choice between gambles: Savoring the emotion," CEEL Working Papers 0802, Computable and Experimental Economics Laboratory, Department of Economics, University of Trento, Italia. [Downloadable!]
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