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Inside Information in a Betting Market

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  • Schnytzer, Adi
  • Shilony, Yuval
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    Abstract

    Inside information concerning a risky asset is presumed to be beneficial to its holder. Measurement of the impact and benefit of inside information is difficult because its use for financial gain is often illegal. Ideally one would like to investigate and compare two mutually isolated groups, one with and the other without access to inside information. The Australian horse-betting market offers such an opportunity. It is found that even exposure to 'second hand' inside information effects a change in behavior, a rise in payoffs, and adds power and significance to the prediction of race results. Copyright 1995 by Royal Economic Society.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Royal Economic Society in its journal The Economic Journal.

    Volume (Year): 105 (1995)
    Issue (Month): 431 (July)
    Pages: 963-71

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    Handle: RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:105:y:1995:i:431:p:963-71

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    Cited by:
    1. John Peirson & Michael A. Smith, 2010. "Symposium Expert Analysis and Insider Information in Horse Race Betting: Regulating Informed Market Behavior," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 76(4), pages 976-992, April.
    2. Les Coleman & Adi Schnytzer, 2008. "Shorting the Bear: A Test of Anecdotal Evidence of Insider Trading in Early Stages of the Sub-Prime Market Crisis," Journal of Prediction Markets, University of Buckingham Press, vol. 2(3), pages 61-69, December.
    3. A. Schnytzer & M. Lamers & V. Makropoulou & -, 2009. "The Impact of Insider Trading on Forecasting in a Bookmakers' Horse Betting Market," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 09/627, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    4. Lessmann, Stefan & Sung, Ming-Chien & Johnson, Johnnie E.V., 2009. "Identifying winners of competitive events: A SVM-based classification model for horserace prediction," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 569-577, July.
    5. Stefan Winter & Martin Kukuk, 2008. "Do horses like vodka and sponging? - On market manipulation and the favourite-longshot bias," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 75-87.
    6. Adi Schnytzer & Yuval Shilony, 2002. "On the timing of inside trades in a betting market," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 176-186, June.
    7. Koessler, Frédéric & Noussair, Charles & Ziegelmeyer, Anthony, 2012. "Information aggregation and belief elicitation in experimental parimutuel betting markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 195-208.
    8. Martin Kukuk & Stefan Winter, 2008. "An Alternative Explanation of the Favorite-Longshot Bias," Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, University of Buckingham Press, vol. 2(2), pages 79-96, September.
    9. Frédéric Koessler & Charles Noussair & Anthony Ziegelmeyer, 2007. "Information Aggregation and Beliefs in Experimental Parimutuel Betting Markets," Papers on Strategic Interaction 2005-12, Max Planck Institute of Economics, Strategic Interaction Group.
    10. Les Coleman, 2007. "Just How Serious is Insider Trading? An Evaluation using Thoroughbred Wagering Markets," Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, University of Buckingham Press, vol. 1(1), pages 31-55, February.
    11. Frederic Koessler & Ch. Noussair & A. Ziegelmeyer, 2005. "Individual Behavior and Beliefs in Experimental Parimutuel Betting Markets," THEMA Working Papers 2005-08, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.

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