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The surge in euro area food inflation and the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war

Author

Listed:
  • Bodnár, Katalin
  • Schuler, Tobias

Abstract

This box examines recent developments in euro area food inflation and the channels through which it is being affected by the Russia-Ukraine war. Euro area HICP food inflation reached a historical high in April 2022. The rise has been driven primarily by increasing global energy and food commodity prices since the second half of 2021. The war and its repercussions are hindering the import of energy and food commodities in the euro area and contributing to further increases in global prices. While the European Union is mostly self-sufficient in terms of agricultural products, producing more than it consumes, this is exacerbating already existing pressures in euro area food markets. JEL Classification: E31, F10, F51

Suggested Citation

  • Bodnár, Katalin & Schuler, Tobias, 2022. "The surge in euro area food inflation and the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 4.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbbox:2022:0004:6
    Note: 2881411
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    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/economic-bulletin/focus/2022/html/ecb.ebbox202204_06~4e32074619.en.html
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bobeica Elena & Holton Sarah & Koester Gerrit, 2023. "Bringing Inflation Back Under Control," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Sciendo, vol. 58(3), pages 136-141, June.
    2. Paolo Pasimeni, 2022. "Supply or Demand, that is the Question: Decomposing Euro Area Inflation," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 57(6), pages 384-393, November.
    3. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Juan Infante & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Raquel Ayestaran, 2022. "Inflation Persistence in Europe: The Effects of the Covid-19 Pandemic and of the Russia-Ukraine War," CESifo Working Paper Series 10071, CESifo.
    4. Fructuoso Borrallo & Lucía Cuadro-Sáez & Matías Pacce & Isabel Sánchez, 2023. "Consumer food prices: recent developments in the euro area and Spain," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 2023/Q2.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    external trade; food inflation;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F51 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions

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