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Does the private sector foresee a stagflation episode?

Author

Listed:
  • Andersson, Malin
  • Battistini, Niccolò
  • Meyler, Aidan
  • De Santis, Roberto A.

Abstract

This box assesses the extent to which current private sector forecasts point to expectations of stagflation in the euro area reminiscent of the stagflation episode in the 1970s. Stagflation refers to a protracted period of flat or negative growth combined with high or increasing inflation, as witnessed in the main advanced economies in the 1970s. Private forecasters do not currently envisage a period of stagflation for the euro area. JEL Classification: E20, E31, E32, N14

Suggested Citation

  • Andersson, Malin & Battistini, Niccolò & Meyler, Aidan & De Santis, Roberto A., 2022. "Does the private sector foresee a stagflation episode?," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 4.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbbox:2022:0004:5
    Note: 427284
    as

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    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/economic-bulletin/focus/2022/html/ecb.ebbox202204_05~8c2460a00d.en.html
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Roberto Lampa & Gianmarco Oro, 2023. "Can the side effects of sanctions and energy inflation trigger the disintegration of the international monetary regime?," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 76(306), pages 225-242.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    growth; inflation expectations; Stagflation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • N14 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Europe: 1913-

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