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The role of energy prices in recent inflation outcomes: a cross-country perspective

Author

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  • Rubene, Ieva

Abstract

Euro area headline inflation is currently dominated by a strong contribution from energy prices. In the third quarter of 2018, energy prices contributed 0.9 percentage point to the headline HICP inflation rate of around 2.0%, thus accounting for almost half. This large contribution mainly reflects past developments in crude oil prices, a factor that constitutes a common influence across euro area countries. However, the contribution of energy to HICP inflation depends both on the share of energy in consumption expenditure and on the degree of pass-through of oil price developments to consumer energy prices. This box reviews the extent to which these features can help explain differences across euro area countries in the recent contribution of energy to overall HICP inflation. JEL Classification: E31, Q41, Q47

Suggested Citation

  • Rubene, Ieva, 2018. "The role of energy prices in recent inflation outcomes: a cross-country perspective," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 7.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbbox:2018:0007:5
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Behailu Shiferaw Benti, 2021. "Was the Interest Rate Policy of the ECB too Loose? Insight from a Simple Taylor Rule," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 9(1), pages 19-28.
    2. Mohammad Asif & Vishal Sharma & Vinay Joshi Chandniwala & Parvez Alam Khan & Syed Mohd Muneeb, 2023. "Modelling the Dynamic Linkage Amidst Energy Prices and Twin Deficit in India: Empirical Investigation within Linear and Nonlinear Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-23, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    energy inflation; euro area countries; HICP inflation; oil prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting

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