Export and economic growth in Southeast Asia current Newly Industrialized Countries: Evidence from nonparametric approach
Abstract
Nonlinearity in the nexus of export and economic growth has not been addressed in most of the previous studies. If the true relationship is nonlinear, then inference from linear model may be invalid. This study re-examines the exports-growth nexus in four current Newly Industrialized Countries by nonparametric methodology. Results from Breitung cointegration test show existence of nonlinearities in the cointegration relationship of exports and economic growth in Malaysia, Thailand and Indonesia. With evidences of nonlinearities from cointegration test, nonparametric causality test based on rank series provides more reliable results than conventional linear model. The nonparametric causality test indicates a bilateral causality between exports and economic growth in Malaysia and Thailand. On the contrary, Indonesia support the hypothesis that growth driven exports. This results highlight that export is an engine to economic growth through its multiplier effect but it is not a general rule for all the Newly Industrialized Countries.Download Info
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Article provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.
Volume (Year): 31 (2011)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 2683-2693
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Related research
Keywords: Export-led growth; Nonparametric; Cointegration; Causality;Find related papers by JEL classification:
- F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
- C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
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Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Brida, Juan Gabriel & Pereyra, Juan Sebastián & Such, María Jesús & Pulina, Manuela, 2011.
"Causalidad entre turismo y crecimiento económico de largo plazo: una revisión crítica de la literatura econométrica
[Causality between tourism and long-term economic growth: a critical review o," MPRA Paper 37332, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2011.
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