Structural change and economic growth: a calibration exercise for Turkey
AbstractUsing data for the years 1972-2006, we calibrate the dynamic general equilibrium model of structural change by Kongsamut et al. (2001) to Turkey. We then predict the shares of output and employment for the agricultural, manufacturing, and services sectors along the balanced growth path for Turkey until 2050. Similar to the past experience of the developed economies, we observe a declining share of agriculture in both employment and output. However, the rate of decline is much slower and based on the model, we predict the agricultural sector will still have a 10% share of output and employment by 2050 in Turkey.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.
Volume (Year): 30 (2010)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
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Structural Change; Economic Growth; Turkey;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- O1 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
- O4 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
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