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Unemployment expectations across heterogeneous groups

Author

Listed:
  • Patrizia Margani

    (ISAE (Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses))

  • Marco Malgarini

    (ISAE (Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses))

Abstract

Relying on ISAE Italian data on consumers' unemployment expectations, we analyse the process of unemployment expectations formation across different socio-economic groups, distinguished according to their working condition. We find that employees are unable to correctly incorporate the effects of the Biagi Law. This evidence seems to show that these agents do not consider the new forms of temporary job, resulting from the application of Biagi Law, as proper “employment” and hence do not correctly interpreted them as a reduction in the unemployment trend. This aspect may provide some preliminary explanations for the evidence of Italian consumers'' pessimism about the dynamics of the labour market, despite the falling of the unemployment rate occurred in Italy during the last years.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrizia Margani & Marco Malgarini, 2008. "Unemployment expectations across heterogeneous groups," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 4(31), pages 1-6.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-08d10013
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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/pubs/EB/2008/Volume4/EB-08D10013A.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Mitja Cok & Polona Domadenik & Tjasa Redek & Miroslav Verbic, 2009. "Labour market reforms in the context of political power theory: The case of Slovenia," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 27(1), pages 57-82.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior
    • D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty

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