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Unusual behaviour of Dickey-Fuller tests in the presence of trend mis-specification

Author

Listed:
  • Steven Cook

    (University of Wales Swansea)

  • Neil Manning

    (University of Wales Swansea)

Abstract

This paper analyses the properties of Dickey-Fuller (1979) (DF) unit root tests in the presence of trend mis-specification. It is shown that while the performance of the DF coefficient test is as expected, the DF test in its t-ratio form exhibits unusual behaviour. In particular it is found that the power of the test increases as the autoregressive parameter approaches 1. Interestingly, this increased power is not accompanied by oversizing.

Suggested Citation

  • Steven Cook & Neil Manning, 2002. "Unusual behaviour of Dickey-Fuller tests in the presence of trend mis-specification," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(8), pages 1-7.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-02c40013
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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/pubs/EB/2002/Volume3/EB-02C40013A.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Taipalus, Katja, 2012. "Detecting asset price bubbles with time-series methods," Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, number 2012_047.
    2. repec:zbw:bofism:2012_047 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Taipalus, Katja, 2012. "Detecting asset price bubbles with time-series methods," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number sm2012_047.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    DF test;

    JEL classification:

    • C9 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments

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