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The Contribution Of Equipment Leasing In The Error-Correction Model Of Investment In Machinery And Equipment: Evidence From Italy

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  • ZANIN, Luca

Abstract

Several studies have shown a positive correlation between investment in machinery and equipment and economic growth. For this reason, it is very important for policy-makers to study the dynamics of investments and their expected evolution over time through forecast scenarios. The paper aims to present an error-correction model of investment in machinery and equipment at current price with a focus on the contribution of equipment leasing. The main empirical results of the model with equipment leasing as exogenous show that the variable explains 96% of the investment variability and, that as leasing grows by 1 percentage point, investment grows by 0.3%; the elasticity is reduced to 0.2 in the model with all the exogenous variables taken into account (equipment leasing, demand (defined as sum of consumptions and exports), long-term interest rate and industrial production index).

Suggested Citation

  • ZANIN, Luca, 2009. "The Contribution Of Equipment Leasing In The Error-Correction Model Of Investment In Machinery And Equipment: Evidence From Italy," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 9(2).
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:9:y:2009:i:2_8
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Equipment Leasing; Error-Correction Model; Investment in Machinery and Equipment; Unit Root and (co-)Integration Tests;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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