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The Influence Of International Stock Markets And Macroeconomic Variables On The Thai Stock Market

Author

Listed:
  • Surachai CHANCHARAT
  • Abbas VALADKHANI
  • Charles HAVIE

Abstract

The paper examines the impact of several stock market price indices and macroeconomic variables on the Thai stock market, using a GARCH-M model and monthly data (1988M1-2004M12). We find that (a) changes in returns in Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia before the 1997 crisis, and changes in Singapore, the Philippines and Korea after 1997 instantaneously influenced returns in the Thai stock market; (b) changes in oil prices negatively impacted on it only prior to 1997; (c) volatility clustering and a GARCH-M model were present only before 1997; and (d) markets outside the region had no immediate impact on the Thai market.

Suggested Citation

  • Surachai CHANCHARAT & Abbas VALADKHANI & Charles HAVIE, 2007. "The Influence Of International Stock Markets And Macroeconomic Variables On The Thai Stock Market," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 7(1).
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:7:y:2007:i:1_20
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    File URL: http://www.usc.es/economet/reviews/aeid7120.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Rangan GUPTA & Roula INGLESI-LOTZ, 2012. "Macro Shocks and Real US Stock Prices with Special Focus on the “Great Recession”," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 12(2).
    2. Emeka Nkoro & Aham Kelvin Uko, 2013. "A Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Model of the Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Stock Returns: Empirical Evidence from the Nigerian Stock Market," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 4(4), pages 38-51, October.
    3. Ali Umar Ahmad & Adam Abdullah & Zunaidah Sulong & Ahmad Tijjani Abdullahi, 2015. "The Review of Stock Returns and Macroeconomic Variables," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 5(5), pages 154-181, May.
    4. Endri Endri & Zaenal Abidin & Torang P. Simanjuntak & Immas Nurhayati, 2020. "Indonesian Stock Market Volatility: GARCH Model," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 16(2), pages 7-17.
    5. Carlos David Cardona-Arenas & Rafael Gómez-Gómez & Eliana Morales-Zuluaga, 2023. "COVID-19 and its short-term informational impact on the stock markets of the Pacific Alliance countries," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(5), pages 1-23, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock market; conditional volatility; macroeconomic variables; GARCH; Thailand.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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