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DIW's 2009 Fall Forecast: Key Economic Trends


Author Info

  • Christian Dreger
  • Kerstin Bernoth
  • Franziska Bremus
  • Karl Brenke
  • Roberta Colavecchio
  • Burcu Erdogan
  • Stefan Kooths
  • Vladimir Kuzin
  • Dorothea Lucke
  • Charlotte Senftleben
  • Sebastian Weber


Following an unprecedented contraction in GDP, the German economy returns to expansion. Growth will be modest in 2010, however, as the forces of the recovery are not yet stable. This is the key result of the Autumn outlook of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW). DIW expects Germany's GDP to grow by 1.3% in 2010. While this figure is higher than the forecast for the entire euro zone (+0.8%), it is not cause for celebration: Next year's growth is too low to compensate for the decline in output since the start of the crisis. By the end of 2010, Germany's GDP will have returned to its level at the beginning of 2006.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research in its journal Weekly Report.

Volume (Year): 5 (2009)
Issue (Month): 31 ()
Pages: 216-217

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Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwrp:wr5-31

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Related research

Keywords: Economic outlook; Business cycle forecast; Consumption; Foreign trade; Labour market;

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