IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/diw/diwwob/85-24-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Deutsche Wirtschaft: Abschwächung in Sicht: Grundlinien der Wirtschaftsentwicklung im Sommer 2018

Author

Listed:
  • Ferdinand Fichtner
  • Christian Breuer
  • Simon Junker
  • Claus Michelsen
  • Thore Schlaak

Abstract

Im Vergleich zum vergangenen Jahr schwächt sich die deutsche Konjunktur merklich ab. Die Bestellungen aus dem Ausland sinken und die heimischen Unternehmen halten sich mit Investitionen zurück. Die Kapazitäten bleiben jedoch stark ausgelastet – auch weil im kommenden Jahr die Regierung die Einkommen der privaten Haushalte anschiebt. Aber vor allem steigen die Einkommen wegen der guten Lage am Arbeitsmarkt spürbar: Die Arbeitslosenquote sinkt auf 5,2 Prozent in diesem Jahr und auf 4,9 Prozent im kommenden. Die deutsche Wirtschaft wächst alles in allem in diesem Jahr um 1,9 Prozent und im Jahr 2019 um 1,7 Prozent.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferdinand Fichtner & Christian Breuer & Simon Junker & Claus Michelsen & Thore Schlaak, 2018. "Deutsche Wirtschaft: Abschwächung in Sicht: Grundlinien der Wirtschaftsentwicklung im Sommer 2018," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 85(24), pages 508-521.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwob:85-24-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.591627.de/18-24-3.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business cycle forecast; economic outlook;

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:diw:diwwob:85-24-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Bibliothek (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/diwbede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.