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Kaskadierende und systemische Risiken als globale Folgen des Ukraine-Kriegs

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  • Reimund Schwarze

Abstract

This article analyzes the spectrum of global risk cascades triggered by the Ukraine war and examines the changes in global risk prevention policy that result from it. With the help of the concept of “global systemic risks”, the most important global consequences of the war in Ukraine are described and their propagation pathways and control variables are analyzed. In conclusion, the most important requirements for the UN’s risk management, reconstruction and preparedness policies are identified. Dieser Artikel analysiert das Spektrum der durch den Ukraine-Krieg ausgelösten globalen Risikokaskaden und untersucht, welche Änderungen sich dadurch für die weltweite Risikovorsorgepolitik ergeben. Mit Hilfe des Konzepts „Globaler systemischer Risiken“ werden die wichtigsten globalen Folgen des Kriegs in der Ukraine beschrieben und deren Ausbreitungswege sowie Steuerungsgrößen analysiert. Abschließend werden die wichtigsten Anforderungen an die Risikobewältigungs-, Wiederaufbau- und Vorsorgepolitik der UN herausgearbeitet.

Suggested Citation

  • Reimund Schwarze, 2022. "Kaskadierende und systemische Risiken als globale Folgen des Ukraine-Kriegs," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 91(4), pages 67-82.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwvjh:91-4-6
    DOI: 10.3790/vjh.91.4.67
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Ukraine war; systemic risks; food security; energy security; biological risks; technological risks; forced migration; UN;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F51 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
    • F60 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - General
    • H84 - Public Economics - - Miscellaneous Issues - - - Disaster Aid

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