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Konjunkturanalysen mit DIWAX

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Author Info
Stefan Kooths

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Abstract

DIWAX ist ein agentenbasiertes Softwarepaket für VGR-gestützte Konjunkturprognosen. Die Hauptkomponenten des Systems bilden eine relationale Metadatenbank, mit der Zeitreihen nach primär ökonomischen Kriterien beschrieben werden können, ein Ressourcenkonzept, das die Verbindung zu beliebig vielen heterogenen Datenquellen ermöglicht, sowie - als wesentlicher Teil des Systems - eine Analyseumgebung, die dem Anwender innerhalb eines frei gestaltbaren Ableitungsschemas bei der Prognoseerstellung unterstützt. Hilfsagenten übernehmen dabei Routineaufgaben, stellen die Aktualität der Datenbasis sicher, prüfen die Prognose auf Konsistenz und diagnostizieren mögliche Unregelmäßigkeiten. Der Beitrag beschreibt den konzeptionellen Aufbau der Software und stellt wesentliche Eigenschaften vor. Zudem wird ein Ausblick auf zukünftige Erweiterungen geworfen, zu denen vor allem die Integration makroökonometrischer Modelle gehört.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research in its journal Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung.

Volume (Year): 76 (2007)
Issue (Month): 4 ()
Pages: 21-34
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Handle: RePEc:diw:diwvjh:76-4-3

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Related research
Keywords: Business cycle analysis; national accounting; forecasting; database software;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Computational Techniques
E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth
E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-14.

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