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Model And Results Of A Stress Test On Public Finance - Analysis And Comparison With The Model Of The Ministry Of Finance

Author

Listed:
  • Julian Voynov

    (D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics)

Abstract

The article presents a model for calculating the production gap to obtain the cyclically-adjusted budget balance (CAB), which is then used to conduct a stress test with the production gap values to track the reaction of CAB in terms of the Impulse-Response Function in EViews.

Suggested Citation

  • Julian Voynov, 2023. "Model And Results Of A Stress Test On Public Finance - Analysis And Comparison With The Model Of The Ministry Of Finance," Economic Archive, D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 2 Year 20, pages 11-30.
    • Handle: RePEc:dat:earchi:y:2023:i:2:p:11-30
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    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10610/4811
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    public finance; output gap; cyclically-adjusted budget balance; stress test; impulse-response function;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • H68 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt

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