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Estimation Of Continuous-Time Models For Stock Returns And Interest Rates

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Author Info
GALLANT, A. RONALD
TAUCHEN, GEORGE
Abstract

Efficient Method of Moments is used to estimate and test continuous-time diffusion models for stock returns and interest rates. For stock returns, a four-state, two-factor diffusion with one state observed can account for the dynamics of the daily return onthe S P Composite Index, 1927 1987. This contrasts with results indicating that discrete-time, stochastic volatility models cannot explain these dynamics. For interest rates, a trivariate Yield-Factor Model is estimated from weekly, 1962 1995, Treasury rates. The Yield-Factor Model is sharply rejected, although extensions permitting convexities in the local variance come closer to fitting the data.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Cambridge University Press in its journal Macroeconomic Dynamics.

Volume (Year): 1 (1997)
Issue (Month): 01 (January)
Pages: 135-168
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Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:1:y:1997:i:01:p:135-168_00

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